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Top stories

Yakuza Maker RGG Studio Sets Sept. 24 Summit Before Tokyo Game Show

Yakuza Maker RGG Studio Sets Sept. 24 Summit Before Tokyo Game Show

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Summit

Will a human summit Olympus Mons (on Mars) before 2050?

Dec 2, 6:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.51%chance

171420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

277

36

Will I summit Olympus Mons (on Mars) before 2050?

Dec 2, 6:31 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1%chance

91199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will Putin attend the G20 Summit in the US in 2026?

Apr 24, 3:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.8%chance

19399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

303

33

Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?

Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.89%chance

4230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?

Feb 9, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.17%chance

8193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

37

Will "The Paris AI Anti-Safety Summit" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Feb 13, 5:05 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11%chance

6184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

96

If Putin attends the G20 summit in 2026, will any of the listed leader not attend?

Apr 24, 3:55 AMNov 18, 11:59 PM

7137

OptionProbability

Putin does not attend

Putin and all listed leaders attend

Putin attends, at least one listed leader does not

82

9

9

Putin shakes hands with Trump at G20 Summit in Miami?

Apr 26, 12:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.11%chance

7115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

52

Will we see the rise of a post scarcity economic summit before 2030 ?

Jun 22, 9:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

952

Will Jose Luis Ricon ever summit Mulhacén?

Jun 21, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will there be a 2nd Reproductive Frontiers Summit in 2026?

Jun 30, 3:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Jose Luis Ricon come to Nucleate Summit 2026?

Aug 25, 2:17 PM

00

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