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Prediction markets for Summit
Will a human summit Olympus Mons (on Mars) before 2050?
Dec 2, 6:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
11.51%chance
171420
OptionVotes
277
36
OptionVotes
499
20
OptionVotes
417
24
OptionProbability
59
16
7
6
4
3
3
2
Will there be a 2nd Reproductive Frontiers Summit in 2026?
Jun 30, 3:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
92.45%chance
2264
OptionVotes
350
29
Putin shakes hands with Trump at G20 Summit in Miami?
Apr 26, 12:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.79%chance
14231
OptionVotes
231
43
Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?
Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.89%chance
4230
OptionVotes
115
87
If Putin attends the G20 summit in 2026, will any of the listed leader not attend?
Apr 24, 3:55 AMNov 18, 11:59 PM
9208
OptionProbability
81
10
10
Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?
Feb 9, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.17%chance
8193
OptionVotes
269
37
Will "The Paris AI Anti-Safety Summit" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Feb 13, 5:05 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
11%chance
6184
OptionVotes
127
96
Which world leaders will Trump meet at the APEC summit in Shenzhen (Nov 18-19, 2026)?
Nov 5, 5:02 AMNov 20, 4:00 PM
4164
OptionProbability
89
74
44
41
34
34
28
28
24
24
Will we see the rise of a post scarcity economic summit before 2030 ?
Jun 22, 9:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
47.53%chance
4105
OptionVotes
1051
952