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Super Agent News
Prediction markets for Super Agent
Prediction markets for Super Agent
Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?
Aug 26, 7:20 PM
Aug 24, 6:59 AM
10.45%
chance
118
20214
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2927
342
will trump be assasinated in US?
Mar 7, 1:13 AM
Dec 31, 1:12 AM
6%
chance
22
1678
Option
Votes
YES
NO
396
25
Will OpenAI release a super-app combining ChatGPT, Codex, and Atlass apps, before May 1 2026?
Mar 22, 3:26 AM
Apr 30, 11:59 PM
44.95%
chance
13
466
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1107
904
Will AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Mar 4, 6:50 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
42%
chance
7
256
Option
Votes
YES
NO
118
85
Will an AI be able to impersonate players in Super Smash Bros. Melee before 2030?
Mar 27, 3:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
65.99%
chance
10
177
Option
Votes
NO
YES
257
192
Will Super Smash Bros. Melee have an AI scandal in a tournament before 2027?
Mar 12, 7:47 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
12.06%
chance
6
170
Option
Votes
YES
NO
270
37
Will we “muddle through” alignment?
Mar 18, 9:42 AM
Jan 26, 7:59 AM
66%
chance
10
138
Option
Votes
NO
YES
139
72
Before 2028, will I be able to train a Super Smash Bros. Melee ML agent that beats me in a Bo5 set?
Feb 24, 1:36 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
54.75%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
91
Before 2028, will I be able to train a Super Smash Bros. Melee ML agent that beats the Phillip AI in a Bo5 set?
Feb 24, 1:39 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
45.25%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
91
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