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Super Agent AI News
Prediction markets for Super Agent AI
Prediction markets for Super Agent AI
Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?
Aug 26, 7:20 PM
Aug 24, 6:59 AM
10.33%
chance
119
20234
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2947
339
will trump be assasinated in US?
Mar 7, 1:13 AM
Dec 31, 1:12 AM
7.4%
chance
29
2284
Option
Votes
YES
NO
354
28
Will AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Mar 4, 6:50 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
50%
chance
10
291
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Will an AI be able to impersonate players in Super Smash Bros. Melee before 2030?
Mar 27, 3:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
65.99%
chance
10
177
Option
Votes
NO
YES
257
192
Will Super Smash Bros. Melee have an AI scandal in a tournament before 2027?
Mar 12, 7:47 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
12.06%
chance
6
170
Option
Votes
YES
NO
270
37
Will we “muddle through” alignment?
Mar 18, 9:42 AM
Jan 26, 7:59 AM
66%
chance
10
138
Option
Votes
NO
YES
139
72
Will a top-20 Super Bowl advertiser air a primarily AI-generated commercial during Super Bowl LXI (Feb 2027)?
Apr 17, 9:34 PM
Mar 5, 12:00 PM
35.18%
chance
6
70
Option
Votes
NO
YES
215
170
Before 2028, will I be able to train a Super Smash Bros. Melee ML agent that beats the Phillip AI in a Bo5 set?
Feb 24, 1:39 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
45.25%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
91
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