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Prediction markets for Super Editions

Will WW3 happen before GTA6?

Jul 2, 10:02 AMNov 18, 11:00 PM

4.41%chance

5921326247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

47894

3274

Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?

Aug 26, 7:20 PMAug 24, 6:59 AM

5.31%chance

12321574

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4221

237

When will Starship reach orbit?

Apr 2, 6:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1814535

OptionProbability

Jul-Dec 2026

2027

Apr-Jun 2026

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032+ or never

98

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Which NFL Team Will Win Superbowl LXI in February 2027?

Jun 23, 11:21 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

213255

OptionProbability

Los Angeles Rams

Buffalo Bills

Seattle Seahawks

Kansas City Chiefs

Baltimore Ravens

Philadelphia Eagles

San Francisco 49ers

Denver Broncos

Cincinnati Bengals

Detroit Lions

Dallas Cowboys

Green Bay Packers

Chicago Bears

Jacksonville Jaguars

Los Angeles Chargers

New England Patriots

Houston Texans

Miami Dolphins

New York Jets

Atlanta Falcons

Pittsburgh Steelers

Cleveland Browns

Minnesota Vikings

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Arizona Cardinals

Las Vegas Raiders

New Orleans Saints

Indianapolis Colts

Washington Commanders

Tennessee Titans

New York Giants

Carolina Panthers

14

11

10

7

6

5

4

4

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?

Feb 11, 3:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.63%chance

322634

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1413

708

Someone induces BlackPink to have babies to help South Korea's TFR by mid 2029

Nov 11, 9:30 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

25.25%chance

111173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1720

581

Will this El Niño be the strongest ever recorded?

Jul 15, 5:22 AMJun 1, 11:59 PM

54.49%chance

28953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

121

Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ?

Jun 25, 1:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

13891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

331

1

Will SpaceX execute a ship catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ?

Jul 28, 12:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2%chance

13784

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

14

During Starship Test Flight 14, how many Booster's Raptor 3 engines will cut off before MECO ?

Aug 5, 12:19 AMAug 5, 3:59 AM

12456

OptionProbability

0

1 - 5

31 - 33

26 - 30

6 - 10

11 - 15

16 - 20

21 - 25

41

25

15

9

4

2

2

2

Will the Green Bay Packers win the Super Bowl in 2027?

May 28, 3:41 AMFeb 15, 11:59 PM

5%chance

6205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 15 ?

Jul 25, 12:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.62%chance

7151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

51

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