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Prediction markets for Super Editions

Will WW3 happen before GTA6?

Jul 2, 10:02 AMNov 18, 11:00 PM

13%chance

4231024201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

23710

5255

Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?

Aug 26, 7:20 PMAug 24, 6:59 AM

28.22%chance

10918455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1595

627

Which country will win the 2027 Cricket World Cup

Jul 22, 11:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41698

OptionProbability

India

Australia

Other

South Africa

England

32

21

20

14

14

Someone induces BlackPink to have babies to help South Korea's TFR by mid 2029

Nov 11, 9:30 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

27.31%chance

10762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1631

613

Colossal Biosciences: which happens first?

Aug 21, 2:22 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7218

OptionProbability

None of the above by Jan1 2029

Company is out of business

Company is acquired by another company.

Company announces the birth of a Dodo (hybrid)

Company announces the birth of a Woolly Mammoth (hybrid)

Other

34

26

16

15

6

1

Will I have more than 1,000 followers on Twitter/X before 2026 (Option 1: Organic)?

Jul 11, 5:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47%chance

219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

305

296

Will I have more than 1,000 followers on Twitter/X before 2026 (Option 2: Purchase X Premium)?

Jul 11, 5:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.75%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

300

300

Will I have more than 1,000 followers on Twitter/X before 2026 (Option 3: Purchase X Premium+)?

Jul 11, 5:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.75%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

300

300

Should I switch majors to Mechanical Engineering from CompSci?

Feb 9, 4:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

250

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