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Prediction markets for Super Editions

Will WW3 happen before GTA6?

Jul 2, 10:02 AMNov 18, 11:00 PM

6.94%chance

5681269522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

35925

3974

Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?

Aug 26, 7:20 PMAug 24, 6:59 AM

5.56%chance

12321474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4121

243

When will Starship reach orbit?

Apr 2, 6:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

177895

OptionProbability

Jul-Dec 2026

2027

2028

Apr-Jun 2026

2029

2030

2031

2032+ or never

72

21

3

1

1

1

1

1

Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?

Feb 11, 3:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.51%chance

272406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1238

808

Which country will win the 2027 Cricket World Cup

Jul 22, 11:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81756

OptionProbability

India

Australia

Other

South Africa

England

33

20

19

14

13

Someone induces BlackPink to have babies to help South Korea's TFR by mid 2029

Nov 11, 9:30 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

25.25%chance

111173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1720

581

Will this El Niño be the strongest ever recorded?

Jul 15, 5:22 AMJun 1, 11:59 PM

82.4%chance

26818

OptionVotes

NO

YES

310

148

Colossal Biosciences: which happens first?

Aug 21, 2:22 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7218

OptionProbability

None of the above by Jan1 2029

Company is out of business

Company is acquired by another company.

Company announces the birth of a Dodo (hybrid)

Company announces the birth of a Woolly Mammoth (hybrid)

Other

34

26

16

15

6

1

Will the Green Bay Packers win the Super Bowl in 2027?

May 28, 3:41 AMFeb 15, 11:59 PM

5%chance

6205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

NFL: Will home teams win 50% or more of the Week 1 games in the 2026 NFL regular season?

Jul 31, 1:37 PMSep 15, 11:59 PM

76.57%chance

5167

OptionVotes

NO

YES

181

55

Will any NFL team start the 2026 regular season 7-0?

Jun 13, 9:08 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

71.83%chance

4113

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

63

Will SpaceX execute a ship catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ?

Jul 28, 12:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.18%chance

883

OptionVotes

NO

YES

157

64

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