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Prediction markets for Süper Lig

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83.71%chance

85130764

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2919

859

Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?

Jul 4, 7:02 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

3.36%chance

5944351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

38965

7534

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

Aug 16, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.25%chance

7043059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

816

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2030

Sep 26, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.42%chance

931732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29345

3524

Will "SPINNING PLATES OF MEANING ON A NEEDLE MADE OF LIGHT!" receive 10,000 listens in 2025?

Mar 27, 11:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.06%chance

5517230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1223

817

Is faster-than-light travel physically possible?

Mar 4, 2:16 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

19.11%chance

896285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

655

There are no aliens or distinguishable alien materials within 100 light-years of Earth.

Mar 25, 3:40 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

67.2%chance

391840

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

930

Will any human-made object go faster than 1% of the speed of light before 2060?

Mar 1, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.09%chance

321009

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

928

Will the documentary about the Soule-Reeves family's auction-based decisions see the light of day by the end of 2025?

Jun 7, 5:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.51%chance

8585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1291

775

Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?

Feb 11, 3:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.71%chance

10359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

92

Lightcell's system demonstrates higher power-to-weight ratio than PEM fuel cell system by 2028?

Jun 22, 8:18 PMDec 31, 9:17 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will "Momentum of Light in Glass" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Oct 20, 2:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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