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Prediction markets for Super Users
Prediction markets for Super Users
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Jun 19, 11:34 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
60%
chance
77
12738
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1225
816
Grok adds terminate conversation button by 3/1/26?
Aug 17, 1:02 PM
Mar 1, 11:59 PM
21.67%
chance
48
3066
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1902
526
Will it become common to carry separate devices to enable AI listening to self outputs by mid 2026
Oct 1, 6:10 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
10.96%
chance
14
2180
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2850
351
Twitter feature: can adjust image order on the website on PC, by mid 2026
Feb 22, 5:10 AM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
30.84%
chance
9
152
Option
Votes
NO
YES
486
479
⚽ Will Francesco Camarda be considered a top player before 2034?
Oct 4, 6:43 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
12.01%
chance
6
148
Option
Votes
YES
NO
169
36
Facebook's default group avatar configuration becomes more representative, by mid 2026
Feb 18, 8:46 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
52.09%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
NO
YES
104
96
Which Seattle team is the best historically
Jan 19, 5:49 AM
2
0
Tell me about Nikki Haley!
Mar 1, 2:16 AM
0
0
How can I get this huge list of Google Photos bugs fixed? [currently a 43m long rambling video]
Nov 15, 10:47 PM
11
0
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