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Prediction markets for Supersonic

Will the United States legalize commercial supersonic flight over land before 2026?

Jul 2, 3:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.3%chance

275423

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3030

110

Will Boom Supersonic have their first commercial supersonic flight by the end of 2030?

Apr 19, 10:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.64%chance

302708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2178

1904

Will a supersonic plane fly commercial passengers by 2030?

Jun 5, 3:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.26%chance

291833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1347

857

Will a Boom Supersonic beat SpaceX to COMMERCIAL super-sonic suborbital flight? (see description for terms)

Dec 9, 4:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.83%chance

121672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

970

Commercial supersonic flights by the end of 2030?

Jan 1, 11:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.47%chance

81447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2174

460

Which will be the next three airlines to operate a supersonic airliner?

Dec 9, 2:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

121323

OptionProbability

United Airlines

Japan Airlines

SpaceX Airlines

Alaska Airlines

British Airways

Air France

Hawaiian Airlines

All Nippon Airways

Air China

China Eastern Airlines

Cathay Pacific

Singapore Airlines

KLM Royal Dutch Airlines

China Southern Airlines

American Airlines

Delta Air Lines

52

36

33

29

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

18

16

Which will be the next airline to operate a supersonic airliner?

Dec 9, 1:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

32819

OptionProbability

Other

United Airlines

Aeroflot

Air China

Delta

Japan Airlines

Air France

American Airlines

British Airways

SpaceX

Emirates

Etihad

Hawaiian Airlines

41

13

10

9

8

4

4

3

2

2

2

2

1

Will Boom Overture fly (supersonic) before 2040?

Nov 15, 10:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.72%chance

10662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

351

109

By when will the Boom Overture make its first supersonic passenger-carrying flight?

Feb 5, 2:15 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8388

OptionProbability

Boom Overture will not make a supersonic passenger-carrying flight

After end of 2040

By end of 2035

By end of 2036

By end of 2037

By end of 2038

By end of 2039

By end of 2040

By end of 2034

By end of 2033

By end of 2032

By end of 2031

By end of 2030

By end of 2029

By end of 2028

By end of 2025

By end of 2026

By end of 2027

63

50

45

45

45

45

45

45

41

37

34

28

23

20

7

1

1

1

Will there be nuclear powered supersonic airplanes by 2100?

Aug 4, 10:21 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.21%chance

9304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

379

92

Will regularly-scheduled supersonic flights operate between Los Angeles and Tokyo in 2050?

Jun 20, 12:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.68%chance

11288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

165

Will the COMAC C949 be supersonic?

Mar 31, 2:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.09%chance

347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

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