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Prediction markets for Surf

Which sports/disciplines/events will be at the 2032 Summer Olympics in Brisbane?

Aug 20, 10:33 AMAug 27, 2:29 PM

143318

OptionProbability

Boxing

Greco-Roman Wrestling

Beach Volleyball

Golf

Surfing

Weightlifting

Sport Climbing

Modern Pentathlon

Cricket

3x3 Basketball

Taekwondo

U23 Football (Soccer)

Heptathlon

Skateboarding

Lacrosse

Squash

Baseball

Flag Football

Rhythmic Gymnastics

Bouldering (alone, not part of a combined event)

Netball

Softball

Rugby League

Touch (aka Touch Football or Touch Rugby League)

Lead (alone, not part of a combined event)

BMX Freestyle

Dressage

More than 12 Freestyle Wrestling categories

50 kilometres race walk

Skateboard Vert

Lifesaving

Compound Bow Archery

Kickboxing

Keelboat Sailing

Karate

Men's Rhythmic Gymnastics

Motorsports

Women's Greco-Roman wrestling

Beach Sprint Rowing

Racquetball

Australian Rules Football

Pickleball

Lightweight Rowing

Ultimate

Breaking

88

88

88

88

86

86

80

80

80

80

80

80

80

74

74

74

69

64

61

59

57

51

50

50

50

50

50

48

45

45

43

41

41

41

39

39

31

31

28

26

23

21

20

18

12

The next American mission that lands a human on the surface of the Moon won't involve SLS

Apr 20, 1:05 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

47.4%chance

221507

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

747

Will Ohio billionaire Larry Connor go to 'Titanic-level depths' and go back to the surface alive by EOY 2030 ?

May 28, 10:51 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

75.29%chance

61260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1745

573

Will NASA's Europa Clipper discover organic compounds either in plumes or on the surface?

Oct 18, 1:06 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

77.72%chance

171141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1868

535

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.44%chance

191114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1186

843

Will a human control in real time a humanoid robot on the surface of Mars before 2040 using VR technology?

Apr 22, 2:06 AMJan 5, 3:59 PM

30%chance

10988

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

424

Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?

Jan 10, 2:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

61.63%chance

14868

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

844

Will any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?

Dec 11, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.96%chance

20689

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

879

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

15.65%chance

8466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

119

Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?

Jul 11, 3:56 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46.24%chance

13393

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

871

Will humans land on Mars and lift off from its surface to an altitude of at least 10 km by 2041?

Aug 7, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.77%chance

11305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

178

Will the first 10 person, 1 year human habitat on Mars be on the surface?

Nov 10, 6:48 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

64.89%chance

1076

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

967

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