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Top stories

NFL and Microsoft Deploy Copilot AI and Azure on 2,500 Surface Tablets Across 32 Teams for Real-Time Strategy and Recruitment

NFL and Microsoft Deploy Copilot AI and Azure on 2,500 Surface Tablets Across 32 Teams for Real-Time Strategy and Recruitment

Authors

12

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Surface

[ACX 2026] What will the average global surface air temperature be in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?

Jan 7, 12:00 AMJan 7, 7:59 AM

1310334

OptionProbability

1.40 - 1.50°C

1.30 - 1.40°C

1.50 - 1.60°C

1.20 - 1.30°C

1.60 - 1.70°C

Below 1.2°C

1.70 - 1.75°C

Above 1.75°C

45

34

10

4

3

2

1

1

The next American mission that lands a human on the surface of the Moon won't involve SLS

Apr 20, 1:05 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

34.03%chance

252059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

957

Will NASA's Europa Clipper discover organic compounds either in plumes or on the surface?

Oct 18, 1:06 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

83.17%chance

191530

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2223

450

Will Ohio billionaire Larry Connor go to 'Titanic-level depths' and go back to the surface alive by EOY 2030 ?

May 28, 10:51 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

75.29%chance

61260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1745

573

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.51%chance

211148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

Will a human control in real time a humanoid robot on the surface of Mars before 2040 using VR technology?

Apr 22, 2:06 AMJan 5, 3:59 PM

30%chance

121043

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

424

Will any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?

Dec 11, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.86%chance

21764

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

804

Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?

Jul 11, 3:56 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46.48%chance

13493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

866

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

15.65%chance

8466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

119

Will humans land on Mars and lift off from its surface to an altitude of at least 10 km by 2041?

Aug 7, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.77%chance

11305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

178

Will the first 10 person, 1 year human habitat on Mars be on the surface?

Nov 10, 6:48 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

66.56%chance

10126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

940

Will "Can activation verbalizers surface an interna..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 8, 5:24 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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