Surge News
Prediction markets for Surge
Is China’s LVA Surgery a legitimate treatment for Alzheimer’s?
Nov 23, 6:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.31%chance
4429652
OptionVotes
29503
3714
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
Jan 24, 11:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
837616
OptionProbability
100
91
89
88
82
79
73
71
71
65
63
63
58
53
50
48
47
45
44
44
44
42
42
42
42
40
40
40
40
38
37
36
36
34
34
31
31
31
28
27
27
26
25
24
23
22
21
19
18
18
16
16
13
11
7
0
Will Wendy's introduce surge pricing by the end of 2025?
Feb 27, 8:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
9.96%chance
292425
OptionVotes
2605
625
Will a robot complete a surgery with no human intervention before 2030?
Apr 2, 1:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
44.51%chance
452128
OptionVotes
1092
908
Will ASI be achieved before a surgery takes place on the moon
Mar 29, 11:03 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM
69.52%chance
222102
OptionVotes
987
967
Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?
Aug 2, 2:02 AMDec 28, 11:59 PM
32%chance
351535
OptionVotes
995
989
Will a surgery take place on the moon before Jeff Bezos dies
Mar 29, 10:55 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM
18.99%chance
191294
OptionVotes
1257
904
Did Luigi Mangione suffer from some degree of erectile dysfunction related to his back surgery?
Dec 10, 4:45 AMDec 17, 6:59 AM
43.58%chance
181041
OptionVotes
1141
882
Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?
Apr 7, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11.74%chance
10477
OptionVotes
188
108
OptionProbability
33
28
21
5
4
4
3
2
What major event will precipitate the next run on toilet paper in the United States?
Jul 17, 12:14 AMJul 17, 12:13 AM
5100
OptionProbability
19
7
7
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
"The Surge": When will Ethereum support 150 Uniswap v2 swaps / average block?
Dec 12, 2:21 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
179
OptionProbability
76
50
0
0
0