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Prediction markets for Suspense Day

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

May 16, 4:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

164352

OptionProbability

December 31

October 31

May 31

June 30

9

5

0

0

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2026? [description]

Dec 17, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.77%chance

102846

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3126

615

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2027? [description]

Feb 15, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.16%chance

102023

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2569

389

Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"?

Jul 1, 12:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.08%chance

13170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

74

Will the Trump suspension of Tariffs on ground beef be fully implemented and last the announce 90 day time period

Aug 24, 10:05 PMNov 22, 10:05 PM

70%chance

695

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?

Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

Mar 9, 8:51 PM

00

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