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Prediction markets for Sustainable Power

100GW AI training run before 2031?

Jun 10, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.58%chance

135337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1317

759

Will we have full self-driving cars before we have self-sustaining fusion?

Jan 7, 7:06 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

64.66%chance

472541

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

877

If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?

Aug 26, 5:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.34%chance

252192

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

790

Will a major world war occur before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 6:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.1%chance

472073

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1194

662

10GW AI training run before 2029?

Jun 10, 9:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.51%chance

161887

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1509

663

1GW AI training run before 2027?

Jun 10, 9:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.6%chance

111825

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1240

806

Which positive news will make 2025 world-wide headlines?

Jan 4, 4:58 PMJan 11, 10:59 PM

11879

OptionProbability

Space Exploration

Technology

Medical/Healthcare

Fundamental research

Geopolitics

Environment and sustainability

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

Society

Art and culture

Human Rights

Economy

79

73

67

65

65

59

50

50

45

45

35

Will a British Mach 5 Aircraft powered by a SABRE-derived engine fly before 2035?

Jul 16, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.89%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

58

Will TAG Grading overtake PSA as the biggest collectible authenticator before the end of 2025?

Feb 27, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.59%chance

262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

62

Will a spacecraft sustain a acceleration above 1 milligee at a specific impulse above 3000 seconds before 2045?

Jan 20, 11:00 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

31.53%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

95

53

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?

Jan 14, 4:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38.69%chance

317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

80

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