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Prediction markets for Sydney

Will it be revealed by 2030 that Bing Sydney's release was partially a way to promote AI safety?

Jun 14, 3:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.48%chance

422797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2145

852

Will Manifold think Sydney Sweeney is left-coded or right-coded in July 2026?

Jul 30, 1:40 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM

7245

OptionProbability

Right-coded

Left-coded

88

12

Will someone be held accountable for Sydney's asbestos contamination crisis?

Feb 20, 12:55 AMFeb 27, 12:59 PM

88.46%chance

3218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

23

Will a commercial non-stop flight between London and Sydney exist before the end of 2025?

Nov 4, 3:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

25.45%chance

7159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

24

Will King Gizzard and the Lizard Wizard play Sydney Opera House before 2026?

Dec 8, 11:12 PMJan 1, 1:59 PM

80.33%chance

2115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

43

Will the Atlassian HQ building in central Sydney open on schedule in 2027?

Feb 1, 12:47 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

29.84%chance

6113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

120

Will there be high-speed rail between Sydney and Melbourne by 2050?

Mar 10, 12:02 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

24.68%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

231

87

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Sydney and New York exist before the end of 2025?

Nov 4, 3:06 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

25.15%chance

385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

86

29

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Beirut and Sydney exist before the end of 2027?

Nov 4, 4:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

23.61%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

48

Will Sydney be free?

Feb 25, 7:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

315

OptionProbability

No

Yes

54

46

Will sydney mclaughlin get into a public controversy over statements about LGBT people by the end of 2025?

Aug 10, 6:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

How many passengers will Western Sydney Airport serve in 2027?

May 4, 3:14 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

00

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