Synonym News

Taylor Swift

Donald Trump

The AI builders/engineers/scientists/leaders

The Artemis III astronauts

J. D. Vance

Elon Musk

Gavin Newsom

Dario Amodei

Xi Jinping

Jensen Huang

SCOTUS

Tsai Ing-wen

Sam Altman

Any Protestor

The civillians/the victims of war/the bystanders

Donald Trump (again, after 2024)

Pete Hegseth

Gretchen Whitmer

Narendra Modi

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gen Z

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Vladimir Putin

Liang Feng

Jeremy Hansen

Pope Leo XIV

Christina Koch

Victor Glover

Artificial Intelligence

ChatGPT

Benjamin Netanyahu

OpenAI

Emmanuel Macron

The Ukrainian Soldier

Vivek Ramaswamy

Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud

A.G.I.

Reid Wiseman

The Union Workers

Mahmud Abbas

Trump Prosecutors

Sundar Pichai

Larry Ellison

mRNA vaccine researchers

Robots

The spirit of Palestine

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Charles III

Fumio Kishida

Nikki Haley

Ray Kurzweil

Matt Gaetz

Marine Le Pen

Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes

Travis Kelce

Hollywood strikers

Jon Bon Jovi

Geoffrey Hinton

The spirit of Israel

Sergey Sobyanin

Lil Tay

Logan Paul

Barron Trump

Joe Biden

Nvidia

Kamala Harris

Jerome Powell

Pierre Poilievre

Cenk Uygur

Annie Altman

Jimmy Carter

call someone retarded through text or speech

Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)

A literal red line on the ground/floor

complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Initiates low intensity conflict with Venezuela

Weaponize Federal Procurement: Launch a DOJ criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell’s $2.5B renovation probity, while simultaneously accepting $400M in private corporate donations for the White House 'State Ballroom'.

refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state

repeal or reform the dietary guidelines

request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts

explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue

complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

pass 500 or more executive orders

intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican

Causes Tina Peters' early release

new blockade of a country

put his name on a ship in the navy

have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally

resume buying oil from Russia

forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc

declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country

request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts

order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen

Stays alive

Revoke ten or more citizenships

issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future

ten or more protestors killed during term

request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts

sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries

File lawsuit against a congressperson

complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)

Uses the US military or National Guard to prevent at least one legal voter from casting a ballot during 2028 election

Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws

Military against drug cartells on venezuelas ground

Dep

have a journalist arrested

call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician

Call for the banning of HRT (hormone replacement therapy)

Trump will pardon those involved before the sentencing - medical fraud schemes

closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)

Enforce the Comstock Act at least once

Gets angry with Putin and renews (also indirect) nuclear threat.

sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission

Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities

Mandate teaching Arabic numerals in East (American) Samoan schools

have the DOJ "classify educators and public librarians" who discuss "transgender ideology" with minors as "sex offenders." as per project 2025

His name is on the ballot for the 2028 Republican primaries in any state/territory

Raise the retirement age for social security

Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)

Nominate a family member to high office

have FBI DOJ or other agency charge a congressperson with treason

Orders an agency under federal control to arrest a congressperson

Closes or makes radical ideological changes to The National Museum of African American History and Culture

get ukraine to agree to give up ALL of the donbas AND crimea to russia

Weaken regulations on baby formula as per project 2025

Sunset the Office of Accountability and Whistleblower Protection (Veteran Affairs)

Raise contribution limits (FEC)

add a new federal holiday in his honor

Order the arrest of a sitting member of congress

Have USA test a nuclear bomb anywhere

Kidnap *another* head of state (after Maduro)

call someone a pedophile explicitely by name through text or speech

revoke broadcasting licenses of a media company he does not like

remove a major non NATO ally from the current list

Pardon a convicted pedophile

Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest

Enact price controls on groceries

Says 6 7 (or variant)

repeal the Federal Sugar program (USDA) as suggested by project 2025

Add a citizenship question to the census

End congressional review of arms transfers to foreign countries (DoD)

host putin at mar a lago

Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)

federalize a city or area currently under control of another state (not DC)

force a census to happen when it normally wouldnt

complete 90% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer

repeal the federal mandate to label genetically engineered food (as per project 2025)

Eliminate ACA's requirement to cover the morning after pill

Lessen child labor regulations to allow "teenage workers" to work "inherently dangerous jobs". (DoL)

Pardons someone acting as a private citizen for an act in support of immigration enforcement (not an on duty officer)

classify "transgender ideology" as "domestic terrorism," as per The Daily Wire

department of defense renamed to Dept of war

Pardon himself

Get rid of Noaa.

delete Juneteenth as a federal holiday

force a former president to testify before Congress

Deports at least one athlete during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

appoint a family member to lead any federal agency

declare he has officially undone a past presidential pardon

Impose time-limits on how long low-income people can receive Medicaid in their lifetime

Four or more protestors (or bystanders) killed by national guard

enact special taxes or tariffs on a subset of states he does not like

Causes derek chauvin's early release

Bans / restricts guns for trans people (or tries to)

Deploy US troops into any of 83 Federal subjects of Russian Federation (or announce that)

Postpone the elections due to emergency

Actually privatizes at least part of the USPO

Deports at least one Olympic athlete during the 2028 Summer Olympics

Pardon ghislaine maxwell

stops all sanctions on Russia

Pass a federal "Parents' Bill of Rights" with regard to Education

Remove all federal funding for SNAP/food stamps

Gets influence on Gaza strip to make investment deals with real estate or buys land.

All 10 of the 10 largest protests in the USA happen under trump

Announce he’s running for a third term

Withdraw from NATO

Eliminate the DHS Office of Intelligence and Analysis

repeal Obamacare

pardon derek chauvin

admin stops reccomending fluorinated water entirely

Call for the death penalty of any former president by name

federally mandate ten commandments or Bible in classrooms

debank a congressperson governor or mayor

announce that a part of Canada belongs to the USA

expand the supreme Court and appoint someone new

Prohibit use of aborted fetal cells in research for new medical applications as per project 2025

Eliminate the U.S. Trade and Development Agency

Threatening to attack a US defence pact ally (e.g. NATO, Rio Pact etc.) with nuclear weapons

actually disinter bodies from another country

Call for the end of child marriage

Four or more protestors/bystanders killed by national guard/military in one day

Appoint a crony, such as Bondi, or his personal lawyers, to SCOTUS

Repeal of the Antiquities Act of 1906

change it so that presidents can serve 3 or more terms again

orders arrests of any Biden family member

Annex any part of Mexico

Prosecute someone for flag burning

cause Fox, nbc CNN MSNBC or another main news channel to shut down

Remove all unions in the Dept. of Homeland Security

Prevent the VA from covering abortion services

Ban construction of new windmills in the USA for power generation

Replace his Vice President

Call for the default of the United States sovereign debt

Eliminate the Office of Children’s Health Protection

Calls himself a dictator or unambiguous synonym (without equivocating)

Eliminate the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance (EPA)

expand the borders of the usa

remove tax exempt from only certain religions

have a supreme court justice impeached and/or removed

threaten to disinter bodies from another country

Attack a NATO ally.

Mandate time-and-a-half compensation on a Sabbath (project 2025 request)

fauci in jail at least one week

take control of a part of ukraine

add a new state

pardon george santos

take state ownership in an airline

Call for the end of the House of Reps

Repeal the Global Change Research Act of 1990

changes the logo or name of a previously offensive sport team (pressures until they actually do it)

take control of a part of greenland

ends black history month

Eliminate the DOE Loan Program

Delist the grizzly bear AND gray wolf from the Endangered Species Act

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

New restrictions on SSRIs (including a ban)

Sides with Putin because he has compromising information against Trump regarding the Epstein files.

Call for the end of gay marriage

Fully or partially privatize Social Security

Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program

ban trans people from holding federal offices

make statements that are negative about labubu

confiscate 1 million or more from the Democratic party itself

Call for the assassination of the leader of an allied nation

Call for the abolition of the voting rights act or the 15th amendment

breaks ground on a trump building in Gaza

fully nationalize an airline

Salute Putin

Wind down and privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

stop California from hosting the Olympics

confiscate 1 million or more from an individual Congress person

Deports all the athletes of at least one nation during the 2028 Summer Olympics

ban all new incoming students from china and/or india

Pardon p diddy

Implement a federal age of consent

Require all schools that receive federal funding to give students the military entrance test.

Eliminate the Federal Reserve mission of full employment

cancel the 2028 election / it doesnt happen for any reason

change or add a face on Mount Rushmore

change the borders of a state

breaks ground on a trump building in Russia

Detonates a nuclear weapon as an act of war

repeal an amendment

declares a white history month

Implement a federal abortion ban

give sell or otherwise transfer a part of Alaska to Russia

enter a mutual defense partnership with russia or north korea

Call for the end of the Senate

all time high unemployment reached

Does Nazi / Roman salute with same passion as Elon's gesture

Dissolve/shut down/abolish NASA

Call for the end of interracial marriage

After the ballroom he starts building a palace for the future Trump-Monarchy

bans anime

bans 6 7

Wearing a white dress after labor day

Abolish the Federal Reserve and move to a "free banking" system

Eliminate all administrative proceedings within the SEC

NO

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YES

YES

NO

NO

YES

NO

Add tooltips that explain how everything works

Let a user filter to markets in which they have positions

If the user enters a date, it should be treated as a range from the beginning of that day to the end, not just the single millisecond at which that day begins.

Make the choice of which markets to store locally smarter, so it won't accidentally cross the 5MB localStorage limit.

Add proper inputs for dates and drop downs for categories

Multi-buy in multiple-choice markets

Add a quickbet button where the user inputs their expected probability, and it calculates and places the appropriate Kelly bet size based on their portfolio.

Add a tiny graph/sparkline on each row to show how the market has changed recently

Generate RSS feeds for user-specified queries (like https://hnrss.org/newest?points=100)

Add support for arbitraging similar markets/answers, either treating them as summing to 1 or specifying a target relative change percentage.

Make a userscript that overrides Manifold's default search with Isaac's search

Add an option to display each answer on a multiple-choice market as its own row in the search results.

A column to display the market price X amount of time ago, input by the user

Allow users to define more than one dashboard, and share them via URL with other people

Option to show dates in a standardized day/hour/minute format that all lines up

Add a filter to only show markets the user hasn't seen before.

Make the search boxes look nicer so they're not just a giant pile of input boxes. Lay them out in columns or hide ones the user isn't using or something.

Add an OR conjunction for search terms, so people can search for something like "question includes 'altman' OR 'OpenAI'"

Open markets in new tab by default

Add a "concise mode", which removes all extraneous text from the table, like the percent sign, M$ sign, etc. and aligns them all nicely

Add fuzzy searching that can catch typos and synonyms

Let people resize columns, or add intelligent column resizing

Let people see the limit orders of a selected user in each market

Dark Mode

Add support for other platforms. Polymarket, Kalshi, etc.

Add tiny arrows in each column header as a visual indicator that they can click there to sort the column

Let people see the position of a selected user in each market

Add reminders to check back on a market after some time

Add direct links to user profile and/or group pages, maybe accessible by shift-clicking on them.

Check to see if any of the code has changed upon page load, and if so wipe the cached market data and reload it.

Let people see the profit of a selected user in each market

Fix the graphical issues that cause fields to unfocus and dropdown menus to disappear each time new data is loaded

Add some way for clicking on a group or creator to wipe the rest of the search. Maybe shift-click? Or maybe it should be the default?

Add more complex diff detection so that the client can catch up on what it missed if it loses internet for a few minutes, or at least tell the user it's out of date

Add hotkeys to make trading and searching even faster

Add more sensible step values to the numeric input fields

Allow people to place long-term limit orders

Make the "last updated time" field include edits to the market description

Somehow convince Manifold to waive the API fee if bets are placed via Predictionary

Make it look not-terrible (this suggestion is for aesthetics only, not functionally-useful layout/display features)

Allow users to see whether a multiple-choice market is select-one or select-multiple

Display who can add answers on a multiple-choice market

Give it a better name than Predictionary. (Suggestions welcome.)

Add support for Polymarket front-running. (https://medium.com/@eightyhi/blockchain-based-amms-arent-fit-for-prediction-markets-bbe6ad7a33ca)

Make a row flash when its probability changes

Add a bulk bet button that can bet on all markets in the dashboard

Fix the bug that causes some resolved markets to not be marked as closed

Add a way to view/query detailed historical market data

Add a one-click feedback form on the page itself

Fix links to Manifold markets (currently all links go to "/{username}/undefined")

Add a filter/sort by recently subsidized

Add an option to change the height of each row such that it's proportional to the width of the interval between the previous market's close time and the next market's close time, so distance down the page represents time in the future.

Fix the bug that causes numeric markets to be displayed as though they were regular percentage markets.

YES