OptionProbability
There was an alignment breakthrough allowing humanity to successfully build an aligned AI.
Humanity coordinates to prevent the creation of potentially-unsafe AIs.
High intelligence isn't enough to take over the world on its own, so the AI needs to work with humanity in order to effectively pursue its own goals.
Multiple competing AIs form a stable equilibrium keeping each other in check.
One person (or a small group) takes over the world and acts as a benevolent dictator.
At a sufficient level of intelligence, goals converge towards not wanting to harm other creatures/intelligences.
There's a fundamental limit to intelligence that isn't much higher than human level.
Building GAI is impossible because human minds are special somehow.
31
29
14
13
8
3
2
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3004
625
2026
2029
Not by end of 2029/never
2027
2028
2025
2023
2024
17
12
5
0
175
57
1009
991
197
87
282
36
305
33
131
76
153
147