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Top stories

Jay Cutler Refutes Cavallari ‘No Money’ Claim as ‘Borderline Slander’

Jay Cutler Refutes Cavallari ‘No Money’ Claim as ‘Borderline Slander’

Authors

4

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Take It Outside

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71.54%chance

465679880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17813

9130

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Sep 18, 7:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.19%chance

7814254

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1118

858

Will I live to see 2026?

Apr 15, 12:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

96.1%chance

888967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3389

1269

Will the UK's AI Foundation Models Taskforce survive the Labor party for a year?

Sep 18, 3:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.76%chance

283083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1982

791

Will I confidently think in 2026 that taking 120mg MDMA once every two months is less damaging to health than drinking two beers every night for 8 days in a row once every two months?

Dec 23, 7:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

55.13%chance

562229

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1366

705

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

64.64%chance

241675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1056

825

Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20%chance

311006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1202

932

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.51%chance

16796

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

825

Will I let the AI out of the box?

Nov 23, 4:58 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

25.39%chance

21701

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

738

Will a military skirmish with at least one casualty take place outside of Earth's atmosphere before 2050?

Feb 3, 11:52 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

54.25%chance

11553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

275

102

Solar gravitational lens mission launched by 2035?

Dec 8, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.98%chance

14376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1169

927

LWCW 2026 start date?

Aug 8, 9:41 PMOct 5, 10:59 PM

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