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Top stories

Jay Cutler Refutes Cavallari ‘No Money’ Claim as ‘Borderline Slander’

Jay Cutler Refutes Cavallari ‘No Money’ Claim as ‘Borderline Slander’

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Take It Outside

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.04%chance

503720483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16293

14198

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Sep 18, 7:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.44%chance

7915381

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1133

897

Will more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?

Jun 15, 2:03 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

7.83%chance

3811220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3430

292

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

68.25%chance

241825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

924

Intoxicating hemp-derived THC products federally banned in U.S. by end of 2026?

Nov 13, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.35%chance

81372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1659

603

Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20.54%chance

331116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

939

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Jan 18, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.84%chance

161051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

585

17

Will 50-year mortgages be offered by 2029?

Nov 11, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.29%chance

8846

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1766

566

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

17805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Will I let the AI out of the box?

Nov 23, 4:58 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

25.39%chance

21701

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

738

Will a military skirmish with at least one casualty take place outside of Earth's atmosphere before 2050?

Feb 3, 11:52 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

54.25%chance

11553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

275

102

Solar gravitational lens mission launched by 2035?

Dec 8, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.98%chance

14376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1169

927

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