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Takings Clause News
Prediction markets for Takings Clause
Prediction markets for Takings Clause
Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035
Nov 30, 10:02 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
20.78%
chance
55
9461
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3422
3106
Federal AI preemption passes by January 3, 2027?
Jun 27, 6:19 PM
Jan 3, 11:59 PM
20.36%
chance
11
1776
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1978
506
If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?
Aug 29, 2:46 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
45.35%
chance
6
1165
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1098
911
Will Google look substantially different as a company in 36 months?
May 10, 11:42 AM
May 1, 11:31 AM
29.17%
chance
22
1105
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1558
642
By 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?
Jan 16, 7:13 AM
Dec 2, 7:59 AM
5.36%
chance
9
382
Option
Votes
YES
NO
476
141
If he comes to power, will Donald Trump Make America Great Again?
Aug 7, 11:07 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
12.76%
chance
8
324
Option
Votes
YES
NO
238
138
Will Trump withdraw the US from the USMCA before the end of his second term?
Nov 8, 3:26 AM
Jan 21, 7:59 AM
35.74%
chance
5
55
Option
Votes
YES
NO
134
75
How and when should TET markets close?
Mar 11, 4:56 AM
7
0
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