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Prediction markets for Tech

Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰

Jan 8, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38143845

OptionProbability

Hugging Face

DataBricks

ElevenLabs (audio)

Suno (music)

Pinecone (database)

Runway AI

Grammarly

Nous Research (open source, decentralized AI)

Perplexity

Devin (Cognition)

Magic (coding)

Figure AI

Groq

Midjourney

Stability AI

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

SSI (Ilya Sutskever)

Cohere

Mistral AI

6

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

1

Will "narcissistic, orgying tech nerds" solve social ills?

Oct 8, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.08%chance

9927451

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

801

Did tech companies spy on you through device microphones?

Jan 4, 5:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.88%chance

7310484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3680

272

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.72%chance

1418719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3323

1983

Will a tech company buy an aluminum smelting company before 2030?

Jun 5, 2:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.64%chance

213906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1703

587

Will Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2050?

Jan 7, 11:36 PMJan 13, 4:59 AM

59.88%chance

482947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

887

Will Derek Gee ride another UCI cycling race for Israel - Premier Tech before leaving the team?

Aug 25, 5:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.69%chance

32555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1616

619

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Oct 17, 6:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

77.02%chance

302249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

912

Will AI or other tech be usable by the public to enable lucid dreaming by 2027?

Oct 9, 12:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.55%chance

261430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

776

Will Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2060?

Feb 4, 3:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

51.41%chance

37965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1252

636

Will any big tech ex-employee become President of the US before 2040?

Sep 22, 11:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

29.96%chance

21518

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

926

Will tech bros turn the US into an open oligarchy / plutocracy?

Jan 19, 5:56 PMFeb 26, 10:59 PM

51.98%chance

4161

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

961

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