TEE News

Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?

Sep 27, 2:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

8.07%chance

11325364

OptionVotes

YES

4814

1782

Which countries will ban social media for teens by EOY 2026?

Dec 12, 2:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

487506

OptionProbability

Malaysia

Indonesia

Greece [including if the ban takes effect Jan 1 2027]

United Kingdom

Spain

India

Canada

France

Norway

New Zealand

Japan

Australia will ease the ban or introduce exclusions that effectively remove it for most

Denmark

United States

100

Will I be able to use an LLM to brush my teeth before 2027?

Nov 7, 4:51 PMJan 1, 10:29 AM

16.86%chance

331874

OptionVotes

YES

1691

783

Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?

Dec 10, 4:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71671

OptionProbability

Grover Project w/ Or

[James's system of equations for multichoice mechanism versions](https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/solve-these-equations-for-a-simpler#pcfde0bgc1)

Formalizing "Categorical Composable Cryptography"

SNARK project w/ Sanjam

Data availability phase changes

`nazg`: Proving Ring Equalities Done Wrong

Post-quantum backdoorable VDFs

Iuvenes Project w/ Or

Mechanism design to incentivize `mathlib` contribution

Optimal sampling for statistical democracy w/ Surya

Formal Proof for Marlin w/ Pratyush

Eigenlayer Project w/ Or

NeRF the world

TEE via physics/materials science w/ Sylvain

Krugman's Interstellar trade redux

Solving Hanabi

Automated Market Maker Monte Carlo w/ @EvanDaniel

Quantum cowry shells

range saturation tactic

Mixing for slow traders

Homotopy theory DeFi

Violating classical consensus impossibility results with quantum

Poisson average-case TSP

Efficient polynomial multiplication for mathlib

Paradoxical hiding in ROM

100

Which player will lead the league in receiving TDs in the 2026 regular season?

Aug 30, 3:34 PMJan 11, 11:59 PM

5889

OptionProbability

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Other

Ja'Marr Chase

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Puka Nacua

Tee Higgins

Justin Jefferson

CeeDee Lamb

Davante Adams

Dallas Goedert

Trey McBride

When will the Tees Transporter Bridge be in use again?

Jun 25, 2:21 PMJan 1, 3:20 PM

3798

OptionProbability

2031

2030

After 2033

2026

2027

2028

2029

2032

2033

2025

Teetan Stock (Permanent)

Aug 22, 11:45 AMAug 22, 10:59 PM

9580

OptionProbability

YES

178

157

Will there be any millennial who can still pass off as a teenager when they hit 40 by 2035?

Nov 10, 9:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62%chance

668

OptionVotes

YES

152

114

How many teeth will I have on January 20th, 2027?

Mar 8, 6:21 AMJan 20, 8:00 AM

30.56%chance

461

OptionProbability

YES

331

329

Will Teenage Engineering IPO or be acquired by the end of 2028?

May 2, 7:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.83%chance

441

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will Feng Timo still be able to pass off as a teenager when she hits 40?

Nov 10, 7:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.31%chance

431

OptionVotes

YES

127

Will Feng Timo still be able to pass off as a teenager when she hits 35?

Nov 10, 9:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

TEE News

Prediction markets for TEE

Prediction markets for TEE

Prediction markets for TEE

Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?

Which countries will ban social media for teens by EOY 2026?

Will I be able to use an LLM to brush my teeth before 2027?

Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?

Which player will lead the league in receiving TDs in the 2026 regular season?

When will the Tees Transporter Bridge be in use again?

Teetan Stock (Permanent)

Will there be any millennial who can still pass off as a teenager when they hit 40 by 2035?

How many teeth will I have on January 20th, 2027?

Will Teenage Engineering IPO or be acquired by the end of 2028?

Will Feng Timo still be able to pass off as a teenager when she hits 40?

Will Feng Timo still be able to pass off as a teenager when she hits 35?

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