OptionProbability
Burnham meets with Donald Trump (must be in-person)
Burnham travels to at least four continents
The UK will be overtaken in GDP by any other country with a lower GDP
UK General Election
Burnham meets with Pope Leo XIV (must be in-person, not a telephone call)
Burnham travels to at least five continents
Burnham attends an American Football game
A former UK Prime Minister dies
Burnham travels to at least six continents
Burnham meets with Vladimir Putin (must be in-person)
New British Monarch
Scotland OR Northern Ireland leave the UK
Burnham meets with Kim Jong-un (must be in person)
Burnham is arrested or fined
96
94
92
79
54
51
50
37
34
24
21
13
12
3
Before January 1, 2027
Before July 1, 2026
Before April 1, 2026
Before March 1, 2026
Before February 15, 2026
Before February 1, 2026
82
77
40
2
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
274
259
39
100
