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Prediction markets for telescope

Where will the next generation EU gravitational wave telescope (Einstein telescope) be built?

Sep 21, 4:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1018283

OptionProbability

it will not be decided by the end of 2027

in Sardinia, Italy

near Maastricht, the Netherlands

Other

two telescopes will be built in both locations

42

23

15

11

9

When will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch? (by month)

Apr 11, 10:07 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

72139

OptionProbability

Before November 2027

Before October 2027

Before September 2027

Before August 2027

Before July 2027

Before February 2027

Before March 2027

Before May 2027

Before June 2027

Before December 2026

Before November 2026

Before January 2027

67

66

65

64

63

62

62

62

62

61

60

60

In what year will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch?

Jan 7, 11:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

151772

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

Other

2024

2025

50

29

12

5

3

0

0

Will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch in 2027?

Oct 16, 3:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75%chance

13830

OptionVotes

NO

YES

301

87

Will the Lazuli telescope see first light before 2030?

Jan 8, 7:39 PMDec 31, 7:00 PM

44.83%chance

7696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1109

901

Will there be HD real images (e.g. telescope, probe) of the dwarf planet Eris by 2030?

Jan 9, 3:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

12.5%chance

18649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1360

886

Will humanity start building a Lunar Crater Radio Telescope before 2040?

Sep 3, 11:27 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.22%chance

17626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

962

Will the Extremely Large Telescope be the world's largest single optical telescope at the end of 2050

Oct 2, 4:20 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

55%chance

11494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

114

Quantum Telescopes by 2030?

Feb 15, 12:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.42%chance

11246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

987

Will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be renamed before the end of Trump's second term?

Apr 12, 5:08 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

21%chance

6126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

52

Will a Terrascope (a space telescope that uses a planet's atmosphere as a giant lens) launch and successfully perform observations by the end of 2042?

Sep 7, 11:57 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

27.59%chance

471

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

62

Will the thirty meter telescope be built in mauna Kea before 2040?

Mar 12, 6:28 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

46.61%chance

451

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

110

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