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Prediction markets for telescope

Where will the next generation EU gravitational wave telescope (Einstein telescope) be built?

Sep 21, 4:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1048434

OptionProbability

it will not be decided by the end of 2027

in Sardinia, Italy

near Maastricht, the Netherlands

Other

two telescopes will be built in both locations

44

22

14

11

8

When will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch? (by month)

Apr 11, 10:07 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

92905

OptionProbability

Before November 2027

Before October 2027

Before September 2027

Before August 2027

Before July 2027

Before June 2027

Before May 2027

Before March 2027

Before November 2026

Before December 2026

Before February 2027

Before January 2027

86

85

83

81

77

74

72

70

69

69

69

68

In what year will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch?

Jan 7, 11:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

171901

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

Other

2024

2025

73

15

7

3

2

0

0

Will the Lazuli telescope see first light before 2030?

Jan 8, 7:39 PMDec 31, 7:00 PM

44.83%chance

7696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1109

901

Will there be HD real images (e.g. telescope, probe) of the dwarf planet Eris by 2030?

Jan 9, 3:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

12.5%chance

18649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1360

886

Will humanity start building a Lunar Crater Radio Telescope before 2040?

Sep 3, 11:27 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.22%chance

17626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

962

Will the Extremely Large Telescope be the world's largest single optical telescope at the end of 2050

Oct 2, 4:20 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

55%chance

11494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

114

Quantum Telescopes by 2030?

Feb 15, 12:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.42%chance

11246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

987

Will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be renamed before the end of Trump's second term?

Apr 12, 5:08 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

18.27%chance

9183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

47

Will the Extremely Large Telescope be the largest optical telescope built before 2200?

Oct 4, 10:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36.72%chance

8168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

146

Will a Terrascope (a space telescope that uses a planet's atmosphere as a giant lens) launch and successfully perform observations by the end of 2042?

Sep 7, 11:57 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

27.59%chance

471

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

62

Will the thirty meter telescope be built in mauna Kea before 2040?

Mar 12, 6:28 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

46.61%chance

451

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

110

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