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Prediction markets for Tenderize

Will Argentina adopt U.S dollar as its legal tender by 2030?

Jun 15, 8:40 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.64%chance

11328727

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2422

592

Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Jan 25, 8:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.79%chance

1058327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1222

1027

Will Brazil adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Jan 25, 8:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.79%chance

176100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2995

864

Will Dogecoin ($DOGE) be adopted as legal tender in at least 1 country by 2027?

May 8, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3%chance

253443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3159

825

Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?

May 27, 9:26 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

82.42%chance

213066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2165

462

Will Ukraine adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Jan 6, 10:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.24%chance

352558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1923

816

Will 3 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Aug 10, 12:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.34%chance

382044

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

922

Will 2 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Aug 10, 9:11 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.19%chance

321897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

496

Will any new country adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Jan 25, 11:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.1%chance

291066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1359

859

Will Nigeria adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Jan 25, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.41%chance

20525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

957

Will Uruguay adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18%chance

17479

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

786

OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?

Dec 26, 1:16 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

54.75%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

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