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Prediction markets for Terminal Bench

Will Anthropic’s next Sonnet model exceed 65% on terminal bench?

Jan 21, 3:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.17%chance

84864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

297

34

When will a Claude Mythos Preview-level coding model be available to the general public?

Apr 7, 6:41 PMApr 7, 6:40 PM

191547

OptionProbability

Nov 2026 or later

Jun 2026

Jul 2026

Aug 2026

Sep 2026

Oct 2026

May 2026

Apr 2026

37

20

12

9

8

8

4

2

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