Tesla Cybertruck News

Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:26 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

15.51%chance

7111048

OptionVotes

YES

2516

463

When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued?

Jan 17, 10:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2210638

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028-2030

2031 or later

Before July 2025

July thru Dec 2025

@chrisjbillington omnimarket 1 - add questions you want me to resolve and clarify on your behalf

Jan 13, 5:57 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

62043

OptionProbability

Will SpaceX's Starship–SuperHeavy lift off from the launch pad two or more times between 1 January 2024 and 1 July 2024 inclusive?

Will Manifold users reach the $10,000 monthly charity donation cap in any of the first six months of 2024? (Excepting the excluded period at the start of January)?

Will Starship IFT-3 launch within a week of receiving the launch license from the FAA?

To whom does Manifold need to extend its userbase in order to be self-sustaining (link in comments)

[Don't bet on this yet, criteria TBA] How many Manifold users will have a net worth of 1 million mana or more on 1 July 2024? (Rules below)

Will the Tesla Cybertruck be available in Australia by 2034?

[At least ten answers will be added in 2024 that I don't initially N/A]

[At least fifty answers will be added in 2024 that I don't initially N/A]

100

When will Tesla Cybertruck be available in Europe?

Dec 4, 9:20 AMDec 12, 10:59 PM

181227

OptionProbability

Never

Other

2027

2026

2024

2025

Will Elon Musk be buried in a Tesla vehicle?

Apr 2, 1:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.58%chance

21919

OptionVotes

YES

1187

925

Will the Cybertruck or an upgraded version still be sold new by Tesla at the end of 2027?

May 11, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.95%chance

8515

OptionVotes

YES

285

Can the Cybertruck work on Mars?

Dec 30, 8:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.87%chance

7394

OptionVotes

YES

342

Will Tesla give paid public Cybercab rides in a US metro outside Texas by April 30, 2027?

Sep 8, 1:49 AMMay 5, 11:59 PM

92.31%chance

5290

OptionVotes

YES

272

Will Tesla sell 25 million cybertrucks before 2040?

May 20, 9:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.61%chance

8193

OptionVotes

YES

313

100

Will a cybertruck model still be produced ten years after Elon Musk stops working for Tesla.

Apr 1, 5:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.92%chance

6130

OptionVotes

YES

257

131

Is Tesla still selling cars in 2040?

Feb 5, 9:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.95%chance

690

OptionVotes

YES

100

Video of Cybertruck in a Demolition Derby before mid 2030

Feb 28, 10:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

69.12%chance

465

OptionVotes

YES

204

Tesla Cybertruck News

Prediction markets for Tesla Cybertruck

Prediction markets for Tesla Cybertruck

Prediction markets for Tesla Cybertruck

Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?

When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued?

@chrisjbillington omnimarket 1 - add questions you want me to resolve and clarify on your behalf

When will Tesla Cybertruck be available in Europe?

Will Elon Musk be buried in a Tesla vehicle?

Will the Cybertruck or an upgraded version still be sold new by Tesla at the end of 2027?

Can the Cybertruck work on Mars?

Will Tesla give paid public Cybercab rides in a US metro outside Texas by April 30, 2027?

Will Tesla sell 25 million cybertrucks before 2040?

Will a cybertruck model still be produced ten years after Elon Musk stops working for Tesla.

Is Tesla still selling cars in 2040?

Video of Cybertruck in a Demolition Derby before mid 2030

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