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Prediction markets for TESS

Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027?

Aug 6, 8:03 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

24.05%chance

587915

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5483

2860

When will the Rabbit R1 stop working?

Jan 11, 6:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

485070

OptionProbability

2027

2029

2028

2030+

2026

2025

2024

25

22

21

19

9

2

1

Who is FUNNIER: Parmita Mishra or Tessa Barton?

Aug 13, 12:42 AM

00

Will Tessy Barton get her own personal castle?

Aug 8, 7:22 PM

20

Is Tessy Barton FUNNY?

Aug 6, 5:42 PM

30

Is Tessy Barton SPECIAL?

Aug 6, 4:31 PM

00

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