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Top stories

Pakistan Overhauls Asia Cup Squad as India Finalises Picks for 19 Aug Reveal

Pakistan Overhauls Asia Cup Squad as India Finalises Picks for 19 Aug Reveal

Authors

4

1 year ago

Bob Simpson, Former Australian Captain and Coach Who Played 62 Tests, Dies at 89 After Building 1989 Ashes Team

Bob Simpson, Former Australian Captain and Coach Who Played 62 Tests, Dies at 89 After Building 1989 Ashes Team

Authors

5

1 year ago

India’s Cheteshwar Pujara Ends 103-Test Career

India’s Cheteshwar Pujara Ends 103-Test Career

Authors

5

1 year ago

England Cricket Names 21-Year-Old Jacob Bethell Youngest Men’s Captain

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Test

AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]

Mar 27, 12:37 AMMar 22, 6:59 AM

10771143313

OptionProbability

2028-2029

2027-2028

2029-2030

2030-2031

2031-2032

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5

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0

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.69%chance

998752698

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12331

8038

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Apr 8, 7:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

6128469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1221

608

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.54%chance

6311791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

937

Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?

Aug 12, 10:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

5.77%chance

435651

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3443

143

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?

Jul 9, 11:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.17%chance

273717

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2082

321

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

301932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2090

1821

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028?

Jul 9, 11:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.63%chance

101101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1389

366

By 2027 will there be a language model that passes a redteam test for honesty?

Oct 12, 5:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

25.75%chance

15693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

937

Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?

Jul 18, 7:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.9%chance

13690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1308

765

Will Captopril significantly extend the lifespan of UM-HET3 mice tested by the NIA’s Interventions Testing Program? (Cohort 13: C2017)

Feb 27, 6:10 PMJan 7, 3:59 PM

31.65%chance

1082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1049

969

Will Bryan Johnson test the functional age of his T cells/ hepatocytes via functional assays by 2028? (#NewLimit)

May 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

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