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Prediction markets for Texas

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

38.67%chance

202145025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10394

10044

Texas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

Apr 10, 5:56 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

309035

OptionProbability

Republican Party

Democratic Party

Other

85

15

0

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84.47%chance

288564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2332

429

How Many Statewide Offices Will Democrats win in Texas in 2026?

Mar 22, 12:05 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

81250

OptionProbability

1 or more

0

2 or more

3 or more

4 or more

5 or more

7 or more

6 or more

8 or more

9 or more

10 or more

11 or more

12 or more

13 or more

14 or more

15 (Democratic Sweep)

56

48

47

25

17

13

6

5

5

5

4

4

4

3

3

2

Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?

Mar 5, 7:59 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

60.7%chance

151113

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1243

805

Will Texas legalize split-rate property tax (and thus Land Value Tax) within 5 years?

Nov 6, 4:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.27%chance

191063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1966

870

Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2028 presidential election?

Jul 25, 12:20 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.44%chance

17912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1882

1338

Will a Democrat win Texas for President by 2050?

Apr 20, 2:22 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

77.81%chance

18473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1276

897

Will Texas legalize recreational Marijuana before 2030?

Jan 14, 5:54 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

60.74%chance

19469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1124

749

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.48%chance

19458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

845

Will Texas enact a law restricting HRT access for transgender adults before 2032?

Mar 19, 6:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.65%chance

13436

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

911

Will abortion be legalized in Texas by 2030 for adults?

Nov 7, 3:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

56.66%chance

4175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1143

875

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