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Prediction markets for Texas

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

58.71%chance

326210587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12524

8004

Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?

Nov 27, 4:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18394818

OptionProbability

James Talarico (D)

Ken Paxton (R)

Other

58

42

0

Will any major conference issue a ban on scheduling games with Texas Tech as a result of the Sorsby situation in 2026?

Jun 9, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.6%chance

61661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2336

99

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Kalshi)

Jun 8, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.95%chance

171340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

785

Will Texas legalize split-rate property tax (and thus Land Value Tax) within 5 years?

Nov 6, 4:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.27%chance

191063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1966

870

Will Texas run out of water before 2030?

Jul 13, 8:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.64%chance

10949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1260

794

Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2028 presidential election?

Jul 25, 12:20 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.23%chance

18928

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1774

1354

Will Texas legalize recreational Marijuana before 2030?

Jan 14, 5:54 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

55.51%chance

21595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

644

Will Texas enact a law restricting HRT access for transgender adults before 2032?

Mar 19, 6:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.65%chance

13436

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2598

2411

Will any candidate get 50.000% or more of the vote in the 2026 Senate election In Texas?

Sep 12, 8:35 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

57.66%chance

4285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1167

857

Will abortion be legalized in Texas by 2030 for adults?

Nov 7, 3:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

56.66%chance

4175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1143

875

Will Democrats win the Texas Commissioner of Agriculture Election?

Jun 8, 3:50 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

42.16%chance

5159

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1112

821

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