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Prediction markets for Texas Constitution

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

79.82%chance

361358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

790

Will Texas legalize split-rate property tax (and thus Land Value Tax) within 5 years?

Nov 6, 4:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.27%chance

191063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1966

870

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?

Dec 21, 5:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

60.39%chance

20724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

943

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.48%chance

19458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

845

Will SpaceX's Starship cross the International Date Line by the end of Q2 2026?

Jun 8, 7:19 AMJul 1, 11:59 PM

30.16%chance

11452

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

66

Who will Trump endorse in the Texas Senate primary?

Feb 2, 10:46 PMMar 3, 11:59 PM

6288

OptionProbability

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton

No One

Wesley Hunt

Other

43

35

17

3

2

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.19%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

823

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