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Prediction markets for The Australian
Will the party that wins the next Australian federal election have a majority in the Senate?
Mar 16, 8:10 AMSep 27, 2:29 PM
1%chance
103490
OptionVotes
2088
29
When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?
Aug 8, 1:08 AMDec 15, 4:59 AM
51.12%chance
542873
OptionVotes
1221
562
Will the Australian Nationals merge with Australian Liberal party on a federal level, before 2026?
Feb 18, 11:53 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM
1%chance
41001
OptionVotes
995
10
Will Anthony Albanese remain the leader of the Australian Labor Party through to the end of October 2025?
Mar 17, 2:21 PMNov 2, 1:29 PM
98%chance
9708
OptionVotes
700
14
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM
64.33%chance
4459
OptionVotes
1343
745
Which Australian politician was groomed by foreign spies according to the head of ASIO?
Feb 29, 3:26 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
7335
OptionProbability
59
25
10
OptionProbability
43
29
13
6
4
3
3
Will the Australian outback be ‘greened’ / terraformed / geo-engineered before 2100?
Sep 11, 12:17 AMJan 10, 12:59 PM
86.74%chance
4162
OptionVotes
176
31
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
May 21, 6:31 AMJun 30, 6:29 AM
70%chance
385
OptionVotes
153
65
Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?
May 25, 2:30 PMJun 30, 1:49 PM
54.05%chance
680
OptionVotes
108
92
Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?
May 21, 5:57 AMJun 30, 5:52 AM
123
OptionProbability
66
59
50
50
Did Australian voters perceive the Liberal Party as more right-wing in 2025 than they did in 2022?
May 26, 12:26 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM
45.25%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91