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Prediction markets for the Constitution

Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?

Jan 22, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3.22%chance

2653835

OptionVotes

YES

NO

40660

7821

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

73.95%chance

14846589

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1745

307

Will the 28th amendment of the US Constitution be ratified by 2030?

Aug 1, 9:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.85%chance

564948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1939

793

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.31%chance

382660

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1120

635

Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?

Jun 3, 6:31 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

34.33%chance

231823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

723

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2040?

Jan 21, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

77.76%chance

251360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

935

If Trump wins, will he or any member of his cabinet criticize the Constitution by the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 11:11 AMNov 4, 7:59 PM

77.12%chance

201243

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1299

868

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2050?

Jan 21, 4:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

71.97%chance

171078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1272

858

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2070?

Jan 21, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

62.72%chance

17732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

930

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2060?

Jan 21, 5:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

61.73%chance

13604

OptionVotes

NO

YES

988

978

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2100?

Jan 21, 8:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

53.19%chance

17442

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

991

Will "Secular" be officially removed from the Preamble to the Constitution of India before 2028?

Jan 24, 5:06 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

19.27%chance

10368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1204

930

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