The Crown News

Who will first buy the Manifold Crown?

Jan 21, 6:10 AMFeb 20, 6:06 AM

368686

OptionProbability

Other

@SemioticRivalry

@AmmonLam

@Bayesian

@10thOfficial

@Joshua

@mckiev

@ItsMe

@jacksonpolack

@SG

@Ziddletwix

@brod

Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?

Jun 26, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.2%chance

485659

OptionVotes

YES

1167

812

Who will be the first Manifold user to wear the crown?

Jan 21, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

114862

OptionProbability

Other

@SemioticRivalry

@realDonaldTrump

@ItsMe

@Bayesian

@Joshua

@jacksonpolack

@EvanDaniel

@Ziddletwix

Will any horse win the Triple Crown in 2026?

May 19, 2:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.25%chance

123207

OptionVotes

YES

3133

319

Will the first trillionaire be crowned by the end of the decade?

Apr 4, 12:17 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

74.02%chance

292373

OptionVotes

YES

1773

442

Is Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman the BEAST of Revelation? Yes or no.

Apr 23, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

101641

OptionVotes

YES

568

Who will win the 2026 Six Nations Triple Crown?

Jan 13, 4:32 AMMar 21, 11:59 PM

5174

OptionProbability

England

Ireland

None

Scotland

Wales

Any of the UK Crown Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031

Aug 31, 4:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.57%chance

3146

OptionVotes

YES

113

Location of next non-BIOT land to leave the United Kingdom, its overseas territories, or crown dependencies?

Sep 19, 9:42 PMDec 31, 2:52 PM

3127

OptionProbability

Europe (including Cyprus)

Atlantic Ocean (excluding the British Isles or Gibraltar)

Caribbean

Scotland

Northern Ireland

Cyprus

Next pretender or their issue to assume the throne of a European restored monarchy. Only one resolves YES. (add answers)

Aug 9, 2:20 PMFeb 17, 3:11 PM

265

OptionProbability

Other

Grand Duchess Maria Vladimirovna of Russia, or issue

Leka, Prince of Albania (b. 1982), or issue

Simeon Saxe-Coburg-Gotha, or issue (Bulgaria)

Georg Friedrich Prinz von Preussen, or issue (Germany)

Louis Alphonse de Bourbon, or issue (France)

Pavlos, Crown Prince of Greece, or issue

Karl von Habsburg, or issue (Austria)

Duarte Pio, Duke of Braganza, or issue (Portugal)

Margareta of Romania, or issue

Paul Philippe of Romania, or issue

Emanuele Filiberto of Savoy, Prince of Venice, or issue (Italy)

Aimone di Savoia Aosta (born 1967), or issue (Italy)

Will the black crowned night heron, be a “resident” or “reintroduced” breeding bird in the UK by 2040?

Nov 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Yes

What restaurants in NYC will I like if I go to them? [ADD RESPONSES]

May 27, 7:03 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

OptionProbability

Gage & Tollner

Dhamaka

Theodora

Atoboy

Tadhana

Semma

Dirt Candy

Rezdora

Crown Shy

Atera

Farra

Zou Zou

The Crown News

Prediction markets for The Crown

Prediction markets for The Crown

Prediction markets for The Crown

Who will first buy the Manifold Crown?

Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?

Who will be the first Manifold user to wear the crown?

Will any horse win the Triple Crown in 2026?

Will the first trillionaire be crowned by the end of the decade?

Is Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman the BEAST of Revelation? Yes or no.

Who will win the 2026 Six Nations Triple Crown?

Any of the UK Crown Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031

Location of next non-BIOT land to leave the United Kingdom, its overseas territories, or crown dependencies?

Next pretender or their issue to assume the throne of a European restored monarchy. Only one resolves YES. (add answers)

Will the black crowned night heron, be a “resident” or “reintroduced” breeding bird in the UK by 2040?

What restaurants in NYC will I like if I go to them? [ADD RESPONSES]

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