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The Daily Show News

If Manifold integrates Bluesky, how many active users will we have in 3 months?

May 21, 11:14 PMDec 31, 11:06 PM

2530281

OptionProbability

Above 10,000

Above 20,000

Above 50,000

Above 100,000

64

18

11

7

Will Elon Musk appear on The Daily Show in 2025?

Feb 26, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.36%chance

2211477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4684

213

When will Bryan Johnson die?

Jan 7, 6:36 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

199120

OptionProbability

Before 2300

Before 2200

Before 2100

Before 2090

Before 2080

Before 2070

Before 2060

Before 2050

Before 2040

Before 2030

Before 2026

95

94

93

92

82

56

42

25

18

7

1

Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response)

Oct 10, 1:03 AMDec 31, 8:01 PM

446040

OptionProbability

None (show is canceled or rebranded)

Desi Lydic

Josh Johnson

Other

Stephen Colbert

Ronny Chieng

Error

Jon Stewart

Jordan Klepper

Mikey Day

Al Franken

Hassan Minhaj

The Good Liars (Jason Selvig and Davram Stiefler)

Tony Zaret

35

26

19

8

6

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Sora app reaches 50 billion daily views by end of 2026?

Oct 1, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.92%chance

111924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2388

419

Will Bryan Johnson survive 99% of his generation?

Jan 13, 7:19 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

20.63%chance

111692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1440

156

Who will be the next permanent host of The Daily Show? [Add Answers]

Sep 4, 5:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

141289

OptionProbability

Josh Johnson

Hasan Minhaj

Desi Lydic

Ronny Chieng

No permanent host by 2030

Stephen Colbert

Other

Michael Kosta

Dulcé Sloan

Troy Iwata

Grace Kuhlenschmidt

Lewis Black

Jordan Klepper

John Leguizamo

Leslie Jones

Roy Wood Jr.

Jon Stewart

Trevor Noah

35

11

10

6

6

6

6

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

Matt Walsh still employed by Daily Wire on June 30, 2026

Nov 3, 2:16 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

43.77%chance

4500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

882

By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?

Jan 14, 10:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57.12%chance

8407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

866

Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?

Sep 30, 10:27 AMMar 31, 9:58 AM

49.18%chance

7145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

BNB crypto reaches $1,500 before April 1, 2026?

Nov 13, 10:57 PMMar 31, 10:00 PM

20.14%chance

2123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

199

50

I gain 100 followers on X by December 31, 2025

Dec 4, 3:14 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

41.35%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

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