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Prediction markets for The Daily Show

Will Ethereum outperform Bitcoin over the next 30 days?

Mar 18, 3:39 PMApr 17, 3:38 PM

50%chance

3612321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

When will Bryan Johnson die?

Jan 7, 6:36 PMMar 4, 2:59 AM

199266

OptionProbability

Before 2300

Before 2200

Before 2100

Before 2090

Before 2080

Before 2070

Before 2060

Before 2050

Before 2040

Before 2030

Before 2026

95

94

93

92

82

56

36

21

17

7

0

Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response)

Oct 10, 1:03 AMDec 31, 8:01 PM

466577

OptionProbability

Desi Lydic

Josh Johnson

None (show is canceled or rebranded)

Other

Stephen Colbert

Jordan Klepper

Mikey Day

Ronny Chieng

Error

Jon Stewart

Al Franken

Hassan Minhaj

The Good Liars (Jason Selvig and Davram Stiefler)

Tony Zaret

27

25

22

9

7

4

2

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

Will we see an open source LLM model better than Opus 4.5 before the end of 2026?

Jan 2, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.24%chance

142281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2403

416

Sora app reaches 50 billion daily views by end of 2026?

Oct 1, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.92%chance

111924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2388

419

Will Bryan Johnson survive 99% of his generation?

Jan 13, 7:19 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

20.25%chance

111702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1450

153

Who will be the next permanent host of The Daily Show? [Add Answers]

Sep 4, 5:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

161455

OptionProbability

Josh Johnson

No permanent host by 2030

Hasan Minhaj

Desi Lydic

Jordan Klepper

Ronny Chieng

Stephen Colbert

Other

Michael Kosta

Jon Stewart

Dulcé Sloan

Troy Iwata

Grace Kuhlenschmidt

Lewis Black

John Leguizamo

Leslie Jones

Roy Wood Jr.

Trevor Noah

31

11

10

9

7

6

6

6

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Matt Walsh still employed by Daily Wire on June 30, 2026

Nov 3, 2:16 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57.92%chance

6791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1174

853

Will I have a "Successful Week", based on the objective scoring criteria below? (23 March 2026, week 9)

Mar 23, 6:42 AMMar 29, 11:59 PM

70.34%chance

2540

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1540

649

By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?

Jan 14, 10:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57.12%chance

8407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

866

Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?

Sep 30, 10:27 AMMar 31, 9:58 AM

71.35%chance

13356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

63

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.41%chance

4191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

934

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