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Prediction markets for The Daily Show

Sora app reaches 50 billion daily views by end of 2026?

Oct 1, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.97%chance

204116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4373

229

Will Bryan Johnson survive 99% of his generation?

Jan 13, 7:19 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

20.25%chance

111702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1450

153

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.52%chance

101611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2333

429

Who will be the next permanent host of The Daily Show? [Add Answers]

Sep 4, 5:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

161455

OptionProbability

Josh Johnson

No permanent host by 2030

Hasan Minhaj

Desi Lydic

Jordan Klepper

Ronny Chieng

Stephen Colbert

Other

Michael Kosta

Jon Stewart

Dulcé Sloan

Troy Iwata

Grace Kuhlenschmidt

Lewis Black

John Leguizamo

Leslie Jones

Roy Wood Jr.

Trevor Noah

31

11

10

9

7

6

6

6

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?

Jan 14, 10:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57.12%chance

8407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

866

If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?

Oct 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.51%chance

5235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1235

955

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?

Oct 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.35%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

966

Will my blinded n-of-1 melatonin trial show improvements in my sleep?

Sep 28, 8:50 PMNov 28, 8:07 PM

41.3%chance

10127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

If a Republican wins the presidency in 2028, will Bitcoin be above $250,000 at the end of 2030?

Oct 7, 2:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.48%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

993

If a Democrat wins the presidency in 2028, will Bitcoin be above $250,000 at the end of 2030?

Oct 7, 2:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.95%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

986

Where will the 10-year Treasury yield close on November 30, 2026? (FRED DGS10)

Nov 3, 6:33 AMNov 30, 9:00 PM

110

OptionProbability

4.60% to 4.79%

4.80% to 4.99%

5.00% to 5.19%

5.20% or higher

Below 4.60%

21

21

21

21

16

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

Apr 7, 9:41 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Jan-Apr 2028

May-Aug 2028

Sep-Dec 2028

Jan-Apr 2029

May-Aug 2029

Sep-Dec 2029

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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