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Prediction markets for The Daily Show

Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response)

Oct 10, 1:03 AMDec 31, 8:01 PM

446369

OptionProbability

None (show is canceled or rebranded)

Desi Lydic

Josh Johnson

Other

Stephen Colbert

Ronny Chieng

Error

Jon Stewart

Jordan Klepper

Mikey Day

Al Franken

Hassan Minhaj

The Good Liars (Jason Selvig and Davram Stiefler)

Tony Zaret

34

26

19

8

6

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Sora app reaches 50 billion daily views by end of 2026?

Oct 1, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.92%chance

111924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2388

419

Will Bryan Johnson survive 99% of his generation?

Jan 13, 7:19 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

20.63%chance

111692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1440

156

Who will be the next permanent host of The Daily Show? [Add Answers]

Sep 4, 5:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

141289

OptionProbability

Josh Johnson

Hasan Minhaj

Desi Lydic

Ronny Chieng

No permanent host by 2030

Stephen Colbert

Other

Michael Kosta

Dulcé Sloan

Troy Iwata

Grace Kuhlenschmidt

Lewis Black

Jordan Klepper

John Leguizamo

Leslie Jones

Roy Wood Jr.

Jon Stewart

Trevor Noah

35

11

10

6

6

6

6

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

Will we see an open source LLM model better than Opus 4.5 before the end of 2026?

Jan 2, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.22%chance

6880

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1742

574

Matt Walsh still employed by Daily Wire on June 30, 2026

Nov 3, 2:16 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57.92%chance

6791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1174

853

Will I have a "Successful Week", based on the objective scoring criteria below? (2 February 2026)

Feb 2, 10:53 AMFeb 8, 11:59 PM

63.81%chance

6655

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1328

753

By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?

Jan 14, 10:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57.12%chance

8407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

866

Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?

Sep 30, 10:27 AMMar 31, 9:58 AM

75.79%chance

9335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

57

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.41%chance

4191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

934

BNB crypto reaches $1,500 before April 1, 2026?

Nov 13, 10:57 PMMar 31, 10:00 PM

18.61%chance

3153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

48

Provide feedback for my N-of-1 experiment tracker: n1.tools

Nov 15, 4:26 AM

00

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