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Prediction markets for The Daily Show

When will Bryan Johnson die?

Jan 7, 6:36 PMMar 4, 2:59 AM

209987

OptionProbability

Before 2300

Before 2200

Before 2100

Before 2090

Before 2080

Before 2070

Before 2060

Before 2050

Before 2040

Before 2030

Before 2026

98

97

95

92

82

56

36

21

17

7

0

Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response)

Oct 10, 1:03 AMDec 31, 8:01 PM

466590

OptionProbability

Desi Lydic

Josh Johnson

None (show is canceled or rebranded)

Other

Stephen Colbert

Jordan Klepper

Mikey Day

Ronny Chieng

Error

Jon Stewart

Al Franken

Hassan Minhaj

The Good Liars (Jason Selvig and Davram Stiefler)

Tony Zaret

29

23

21

8

7

4

2

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

Sora app reaches 50 billion daily views by end of 2026?

Oct 1, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.08%chance

193366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3623

276

Will Bryan Johnson survive 99% of his generation?

Jan 13, 7:19 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

20.25%chance

111702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1450

153

Who will be the next permanent host of The Daily Show? [Add Answers]

Sep 4, 5:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

161455

OptionProbability

Josh Johnson

No permanent host by 2030

Hasan Minhaj

Desi Lydic

Jordan Klepper

Ronny Chieng

Stephen Colbert

Other

Michael Kosta

Jon Stewart

Dulcé Sloan

Troy Iwata

Grace Kuhlenschmidt

Lewis Black

John Leguizamo

Leslie Jones

Roy Wood Jr.

Trevor Noah

31

11

10

9

7

6

6

6

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will artificial intelligence change everyday life more than the internet did

Jun 5, 5:38 AMAug 23, 10:59 PM

48.63%chance

22476

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

97

By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?

Jan 14, 10:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57.12%chance

8407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

866

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.4%chance

6216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1049

953

By when will will the number of daily cyclosporiasis cases in Michigan be below 50 per day for 4 consecutive days?

Aug 2, 7:28 PMOct 2, 3:59 AM

3151

OptionProbability

Before Sep 20, 2026

Before Sep 5, 2026

Before Aug 20, 2026

Before Aug 5, 2026

90

76

47

0

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

Apr 7, 9:41 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Jan-Apr 2028

May-Aug 2028

Sep-Dec 2028

Jan-Apr 2029

May-Aug 2029

Sep-Dec 2029

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

Provide feedback for my N-of-1 experiment tracker: n1.tools

Nov 15, 4:26 AM

00

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