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Prediction markets for The Departed

Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?

Jan 23, 12:35 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2%chance

58117593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

83919

4213

Will the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMFeb 21, 4:59 AM

19.09%chance

7621508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1566

92

If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised?

Jun 26, 4:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

68.1%chance

497537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1461

684

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

143600

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

More than 3

52

28

8

7

4

Will the Justice Department win its antitrust suit against Google?

Jan 24, 6:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.67%chance

262458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1818

739

Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation?

Oct 21, 2:40 AMJan 1, 2:27 AM

8.6%chance

92370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3260

307

Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling SLS before 2029?

Nov 13, 3:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

75.91%chance

152154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1775

563

More uproar when the Department of Education is cut down to size than around USAID?

Feb 3, 9:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

76.95%chance

232075

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1322

96

Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?

Nov 13, 3:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

11.09%chance

152009

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2831

353

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

57%chance

12518

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027

Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

50%chance

8459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Elon's Department of Government Efficiency creates a leaderboard for the "most insanely dumb spending of tax dollars"

Nov 14, 12:15 PMApr 21, 4:59 AM

56.94%chance

3270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

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