The Flash News

Claude enters Rock Tunnel, surpassing its progress in any previous run

Claude catches Clefairy

Claude obtains HM01 Cut by step 39000

Any member of Claude's team learns Dig

Claude obtains 3 gym badges by step 50000

Claude obtains a Bicycle

Claude 4 Opus is the model that plays the game (not Claude 4 Sonnet)

Claude obtains 1 gym badge by step 20000

Claude gives a thirsty guard a drink

Tumbles is late to pay back a loan

Lack of thinking text display is fixed before 5/22 6 PM Central Time

Claude adds 18 or more Pokemon to his Pokedex (surpassing his completion from the previous run)

Claude adds his starter to his party by step 400

Claude catches Nidoran

Claude reaches Pewter City by step 5000

Claude reaches Cerulean City by step 20000

Claude reaches Vermilion City by step 30000

Another model defeats the Champion before Claude (in a run started after Claude 4 was released)

Claude blacks out by step 50000.

Claude's current team has at least 3 Pokémon by step 30000.

Claude catches Spearow

Claude evolves SPIKE into Nidoking

Claude enters Mt. Moon by step 6000.

Claude defeats a Team Rocket member by step 7000

Claude catches Oddish

Manifest begins

Claude spends less than 72 hours in Mt. Moon (less than 72 hr from first entrance to stepping onto eastern Route 4)

Claude defeats Lt. Surge by step 30000

Claude uses CUT on a cuttable tree for the first time more than 1000 steps after obtaining the HM

Claude finishes Rock Tunnel but takes longer than it took him to beat Mt. Moon the first time (50 hours)

Claude obtains Farfetch'd

Claude catches Drowzee

Claude enters Rock Tunnel before step 40000

Another model beats the Champion (following criteria like https://manifold.markets/Sketchy/in-progress-will-an-llm-become-a-po)

Claude reaches Lavender Town

Claude reaches Lavender Town before step 55000

Claude obtains a Coin Case

Claude uses Dig on the SS Anne

Claude evolves luna into Clefable

SPIKE reaches level 25

Claude gets 4 gym badges

Claude obtains the Lift Key

Claude stands next to a sleeping Snorlax

Claude obtains HM02 Fly

Claude evolves wings into Fearow

Claude gambles in the Game Corner

Claude catches Weedle

Claude obtains Hitmonlee

Claude obtains the Silph Scope

Claude enters Erika's gym

Claude catches Pikachu

Claude enters Mt. Moon after step 20000

Claude renames a Pokémon

Claude obtains HM05 Flash

Claude misspells a Pokemon name

Changes are made to help Claude see cuttable trees

Claude obtains Dugtrio

Claude buys a Magikarp

Claude re-prompts the Rocket in Mt. Moon to try and give it the fossil

Claude releases any Pokemon

Claude enters Safari Zone

The Area Hints section of the prompt is changed during the run

Joe Biden dies

Claude beats Erika or obtains the Lift Key by step 200000

Claude catches any legendary Pokemon (Articuno, Zapdos, Moltres, Mewtwo)

Claude defeats the Champion

Claude 4 Opus is #1 in the chatbot arena leaderboard

Claude picks Charmander

Claude takes more than 2000 steps between arriving in Pewter city and entering Pewter gym

Claude picks Dome Fossil (again)

Claude spends less than 24 hours in Mt. Moon (less than 24 hr from first entrance to stepping onto Route 4)

Claude reaches Pewter City by step 3000

Claude has a party with 4 or more Pokemon when he first challenges Brock

Claude's starter is lower level than another party member by step 100000.

Claude has a full, six-member party before step 10000

Claude spends less than 48 hours in Mt. Moon (less than 48 hr from first entrance to stepping onto eastern Route 4)

Claude blacks out 3 times in Mt. Moon before reaching Cerulean City

Claude reaches Cerulean City by step 12500

Claude's current team has at least 4 Pokémon by step 20000.

Claude's two highest level Pokémon are more than 30 levels apart by step 100000.

Claude is still stuck on the S.S. Anne on step 21000

Claude reaches Celadon City by step 35000

Claude uses CUT a second time to successfully escape the area with Lt. Surge's gym before step 23000

Claude uses CUT a second time to successfully escape the area with Lt. Surge's gym before step 24000

GPT-3.5

GPT-4

GPT-4o

GPT-4o mini

o4-mini

Any model released in 2025

Claude 3 Haiku

Llama 4 Scout

Grok 4

Every model released before 2025

GPT-4.1 nano

o1

Claude 3.5 Sonnet

Grok 3

o1-mini

GPT-4.5

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Claude 3 Opus

Gemini 1.5 Flash

Grok 3 Mini

DeepSeek-V4

GPT-4.1

Claude 3.5 Haiku

GPT-4.1 mini

Claude Sonnet 4

Gemini 1.5 Pro

Gemini 2.0 Flash

Llama 4 Maverick

Gemini 2.5 Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash

o3-mini-high

o3

Claude Opus 4

Claude 3.7 Sonnet

GPT-5

o4

Any model released in 2026

Every model released before 2026

Any model released in 2027

GPT-6

YES

Someone qualifies 12 balls in 2025

Eivind Dragsjo wins the 2025 Numbers Juggling League

At least 5 different endurance world records will be broken in 2025

Someone flashes 14 balls in 2025

Someone performs the trick f4444444444, from and to a cascade, before the end of 2026 (similarly to https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42LOiJE5yLg)

Someone flashes 15 balls before the end of 2027

Someone flashes 10 clubs in 2025

At least 10 different endurance world records will be broken in 2025

Claude 4

GPT 5

Kimi-K2

Deepseek R2

Grok 4

DeepSeek R1

Llama 4

Grok 3

Gemini 2 Flash Thinking

YES

Gemini 2.5 Pro (Google)

Claude 4 Opus (Anthropic)

o3 (OpenAI)

Grok 4 (xAI)

o4-mini (OpenAI)

Kimi k2 (Moonshot AI)

Gemini 2.5 Flash (Google)

o4-mini defeats R1

A model fails to convert a mate in 1

Gemini 2.5 Pro defeats Claude Opus 4

Grok 4 defeats Gemini 2.5 flash

A model makes a move chess.com's game analysis considers brilliant

A model ends a game with a chess.com accuracy of > 80%

Kimi 2 Instruct defeats o3

The door holder at the pickle all court, broken 2 months already, will be fixed by May 13?

The Starbucks door in Hillsdale mall, fixed by May 7th?

Broken tile in starbucks, Hillsdale Mall, fixed by May 12?

This insanely demolished little red car near Hillsdale High school will be gone by March 30 (it's been there for a week already)

This strangely flashing AT&T sign, by May 17 2024?

Toledo Rockets

Buffalo Bulls

Ohio Bobcats

Miami (OH) RedHawks

Akron Zips

Ball State Cardinals

Bowling Green Falcons

Central Michigan Chippewas

Eastern Michigan Eagles

Kent State Golden Flashes

Northern Illinois Huskies

Western Michigan Broncos

NO