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Prediction markets for The Frame
OptionVotes
4903
205
[MEGAMARKET] What will be true of @jim's upcoming Rationalussy movie?
Feb 10, 2:12 PMDec 1, 10:59 AM
142109
OptionProbability
61
60
59
59
58
55
50
49
48
44
44
38
36
31
5
4
Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?
Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
39.36%chance
321716
OptionVotes
1191
841
Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2030?
Jul 8, 3:12 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM
44.9%chance
191677
OptionVotes
1108
903
Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2035?
Jul 7, 7:48 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM
19.74%chance
121585
OptionVotes
2017
496
OptionVotes
1299
353
Will the 3 laws of robotics be used as a framework for an AGI or advanced AI by 2030?
Jan 6, 9:05 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM
14.9%chance
21869
OptionVotes
1430
889
What will the results of this poll be in 2028? Has AI been overregulated?
Sep 26, 8:43 PMOct 4, 6:59 AM
13432
OptionProbability
45
41
8
3
3
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate district
Jul 2, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4335
OptionProbability
72
25
2
Which of the following will happen in the third and final book of the Lord of the Mysteries trilogy? [ADD ANSWERS]
Jan 9, 10:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
389
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
31
Will "xAI's new safety framework is dreadful" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 6, 2:42 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.97%chance
224
OptionVotes
1002
1000
Will AI figure out who has the highest visual frame compression efficiency to working memory ratio by 2030?
Sep 11, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
50
50


