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Prediction markets for The Game Game

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

87%chance

27143410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4674

1450

When will an AI be able to speedrun a popular video game faster than the human WR?

May 27, 5:02 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1518931

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2027

2026

2028

2029

2025

2024

25

20

18

16

16

4

1

Will Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?

Dec 31, 9:39 PMDec 31, 9:39 PM

4.93%chance

3912408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4394

228

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM

58053

OptionProbability

Kansas

Missouri

Other

68

32

0

SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.26%chance

346935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5447

184

Will the 2029 Asian Winter Games take place in Saudi Arabia?

Sep 12, 2:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.75%chance

144357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2822

72

GTA VI will have Spotify integration for the in-game radio

Nov 20, 9:07 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

29.68%chance

363354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

891

Will any major conference issue a ban on scheduling games with Texas Tech as a result of the Sorsby situation in 2026?

Jun 9, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.6%chance

61661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2336

99

Will a video game be played in the Olympics as an official event by the end of 2040?

May 7, 4:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.03%chance

241250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1259

469

The game awards 2026: Flute guy blows into >3 instruments

Dec 13, 4:15 AMDec 11, 4:15 AM

58.29%chance

11410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Jun 22, 11:13 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Las Vegas (including Paradise)

Sacramento (including West Sacramento)

Somewhere within the San Francisco Bay Area

Somewhere else in California

Somewhere else outside California

20

20

20

20

20

Will the developers of the game Farlight 84 adding back jetpacks in next update?

Mar 29, 9:08 PMDec 30, 10:04 PM

00

OptionProbability

Yes

No

They wouldn't add jetpacks in the next update, but in the one after that yes

33

33

33

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