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Prediction markets for The Games

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65.84%chance

25735879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2173

2018

When will an AI be able to speedrun a popular video game faster than the human WR?

May 27, 5:02 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1518776

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2027

2026

2028

2029

2025

2024

25

20

19

16

16

4

1

Will Mexico still host all of the planned FIFA World Cup games this year?

Feb 25, 3:58 AMJul 20, 10:59 PM

92.73%chance

6513602

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17398

9289

Will Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?

Dec 31, 9:39 PMDec 31, 9:39 PM

5%chance

3612356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4362

230

Will World Model AIs start being used in games in early 2026 and quickly start dominating the Game Development industry?

Aug 5, 8:43 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

249219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3645

274

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM

56553

OptionProbability

Kansas

Missouri

Other

59

40

0

SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.81%chance

335935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4447

225

Will the 2029 Asian Winter Games take place in Saudi Arabia?

Sep 12, 2:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.75%chance

144357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2822

72

The game awards 2026: Flute guy blows into >3 instruments

Dec 13, 4:15 AMDec 11, 4:15 AM

32.05%chance

769

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Jun 22, 11:13 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Las Vegas (including Paradise)

Sacramento (including West Sacramento)

Somewhere within the San Francisco Bay Area

Somewhere else in California

Somewhere else outside California

20

20

20

20

20

What format will 'Jet Lag: The Game - Season Nineteen' take? (Read Description)

May 7, 3:07 AMJun 7, 3:07 AM

00

OptionProbability

Chase

Object Capture

Race

Territory Capture

Hide and Seek

Line Drawing

New

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

Will the developers of the game Farlight 84 adding back jetpacks in next update?

Mar 29, 9:08 PMDec 30, 10:04 PM

00

OptionProbability

Yes

No

They wouldn't add jetpacks in the next update, but in the one after that yes

33

33

33

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