The Games News
Prediction markets for The Games
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
76.24%chance
24534490
OptionVotes
2846
1841
Will the Wordle-like game "Fermi Questions" reach 100,000 unique visitors by December 31, 2025?
Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
26.42%chance
17132620
OptionVotes
3315
1672
By the end of 2025 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?
Dec 5, 9:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19%chance
15516604
OptionVotes
3865
859
When will an AI be able to speedrun a popular video game faster than the human WR?
May 27, 5:02 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
1011851
OptionProbability
20
20
17
15
13
13
1
Will World Model AIs start being used in games in early 2026 and quickly start dominating the Game Development industry?
Aug 5, 8:43 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM
7.53%chance
208210
OptionVotes
3505
285
Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?
Jan 12, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.93%chance
363190
OptionVotes
1130
886
Will Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
May 20, 6:53 PMDec 31, 7:52 PM
40.87%chance
152391
OptionVotes
1203
831
In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?
Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM
31771
OptionProbability
70
28
2
Will a video game be played in the Olympics as an official event by the end of 2040?
May 7, 4:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
47.03%chance
241250
OptionVotes
1259
469
Will 9 or More Series go to 7 Games Across the NBA, NHL, and MLB Playoffs in 2025?
Jan 24, 2:38 PMNov 10, 2:59 PM
50.07%chance
8667
OptionVotes
1001
999
Will a VR video game make the Wikipedia "best of all time" list by 2030?
Nov 8, 8:36 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM
70.44%chance
17348
OptionVotes
1079
958
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20