The Intercept News

🏈 NFL Prop Bets 🎲

Mar 26, 5:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5315449

OptionProbability

A WR has 1,700+ receiving yards

A player catches 9+ interceptions

A QB is sacked 50+ times

A QB wins MVP

A QB wins (offensive) ROTY

A team wins 14+ games in the regular season

Super Bowl winning team has the same starting QB in Week 1 as in the Super Bowl

Rookie WR with the highest receiving yards is not Harrison Jr, Nabers, or Odunze

5 Teams finish with positive Rush EPA in the regular season

Regular Season MVP plays for the team that drafted them

A running back wins OPOY

The NFL dissolves before 2050

A team scores over 70 points in any single game

An octopus* is scored in Week 1

10+ games ending in Scorigami (9 last season)

Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift on a Chief's game day

A special teams touchdown will be scored during the playoffs

A rookie wins MVP

A rookie wins OPOY

A rookie wins DPOY

A veteran in their first season with a new team wins MVP

Super Bowl is a rematch (KC vs SF)

A QB passes for 5,000+ yards

A player gets 18+ sacks

New kick return rules result in 50%+ of kickoffs being returned (2023: 22%)

Team goes 17-0

Team goes 0-17

Chiefs/49ers/Ravens Win Super Bowl

100

Cuba / Florida Speedboat Attack: Which of the following are true

Feb 25, 8:43 PMMar 27, 7:43 PM

94234

OptionProbability

People on the boat were US military or CIA (or similar) on an official mission

Major escalation before EOD Feb 26. eg >4 more new deaths

Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)

Jun 9, 4:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55.93%chance

394005

OptionVotes

YES

1005

979

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Nov 20, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.01%chance

322810

OptionVotes

YES

1564

639

Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.89%chance

382634

OptionVotes

YES

1046

962

Will a mission intending to intercept 'Oumuamua be launched before 2035?

Dec 11, 7:27 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

5.33%chance

222481

OptionVotes

YES

1686

904

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.79%chance

161362

OptionVotes

YES

1696

589

Will the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?

Apr 8, 7:51 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

76.93%chance

18803

OptionVotes

YES

1637

732

Will ʻOumuamua be successfully intercepted before 2060?

Dec 11, 7:29 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

7.07%chance

14756

OptionVotes

YES

1442

916

Will an Iranian ballistic missile strike the US/UK base at Diego Garcia before June 1st 2026?

Mar 21, 8:01 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

11.72%chance

9445

OptionVotes

YES

274

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

51.45%chance

4170

OptionVotes

YES

1095

1027

Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?

Mar 16, 9:29 PMMar 16, 9:28 PM

79%chance

8124

OptionVotes

YES

194

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🏈 NFL Prop Bets 🎲

Cuba / Florida Speedboat Attack: Which of the following are true

Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030?

Will a mission intending to intercept 'Oumuamua be launched before 2035?

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

Will the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?

Will ʻOumuamua be successfully intercepted before 2060?

Will an Iranian ballistic missile strike the US/UK base at Diego Garcia before June 1st 2026?

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?

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