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Prediction markets for The Offer

Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service by the end of 2025?

Jan 16, 7:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65%chance

579291019

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1422

158

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

Mar 13, 5:32 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

17.25%chance

713252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1802

902

Will Manifold offer any kind of paid subscription service before the end of 2025?

Jan 28, 2:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.15%chance

432023

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

685

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Apr 5, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.87%chance

331384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2200

1771

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2035?

Apr 2, 6:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.01%chance

481129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1468

813

Will Manifold offer real money betting again before the end of 2025?

Jun 6, 11:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.75%chance

24937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

631

566

Did the European commission offer X a secret deal?

Jul 12, 6:43 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30.07%chance

5725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1525

656

Will Kalshi continue offering interest on cash AND open positions until the conclusion of 2026?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

64.64%chance

8467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1352

740

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

Sep 1, 4:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.08%chance

11368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1251

1038

Will the S&P 500 offer a REAL CAGR greater than 8% from 2024 until 2050?

Dec 25, 10:46 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

48.47%chance

13216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

970

Will Meter, Inc do an initial public offering or get acquired before the end of 2030?

May 25, 3:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.47%chance

13159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

1696

Will American Civics Exchange still offer over-the-counter (OTC) political swaps in 2026?

Mar 21, 2:24 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

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