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Prediction markets for The Offer

Who will offer the most canonical compute price index at the end of 2026?

Apr 9, 5:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

104587

OptionProbability

Silicon Data

Ornn

SemiAnalysis

SquareTower

Hyperbolic

Compute Exchange

Global Compute Index

Other

41

28

11

4

4

4

4

4

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

Mar 13, 5:32 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

20.03%chance

733334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1583

952

Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?

May 27, 9:26 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

82.42%chance

213066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2165

462

If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?

Mar 8, 9:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

51.21%chance

372471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1329

280

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

Sep 1, 4:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.95%chance

162075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2734

831

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Apr 5, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.35%chance

361816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2632

1528

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2035?

Apr 2, 6:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.37%chance

511186

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1285

870

Will Kalshi continue offering interest on cash AND open positions until the conclusion of 2026?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

80.85%chance

121176

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2055

487

Will White Castle offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Apr 5, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.58%chance

181058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

805

Will the S&P 500 offer a REAL CAGR greater than 8% from 2024 until 2050?

Dec 25, 10:46 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

48.47%chance

13216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

970

Will Meter, Inc do an initial public offering or get acquired before the end of 2030?

May 25, 3:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.47%chance

13159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

1696

Will White Castle offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2035?

Apr 2, 6:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.67%chance

12107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

968

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