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Prediction markets for The Offer

Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service by the end of 2025?

Jan 16, 7:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.11%chance

653402566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1614

880

Will Manifold offer any kind of paid subscription service before the end of 2025?

Jan 28, 2:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.9%chance

493627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2058

71

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

Mar 13, 5:32 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

17.25%chance

713252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1802

902

If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?

Mar 8, 9:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.09%chance

332347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1371

237

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Apr 5, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.89%chance

341434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2250

1738

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2035?

Apr 2, 6:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.01%chance

481129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1468

813

Will Kalshi continue offering interest on cash AND open positions until the conclusion of 2026?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

73.14%chance

9767

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1650

606

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

Sep 1, 4:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.87%chance

11473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1146

1064

Will the S&P 500 offer a REAL CAGR greater than 8% from 2024 until 2050?

Dec 25, 10:46 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

48.47%chance

13216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

970

Will Meter, Inc do an initial public offering or get acquired before the end of 2030?

May 25, 3:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.47%chance

13159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

1696

Will the court order Kalshi to stop offering events contracts for sport in Massachusetts during it's court case?

Sep 12, 10:00 PMSep 12, 9:57 PM

43%chance

1151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will American Civics Exchange still offer over-the-counter (OTC) political swaps in 2026?

Mar 21, 2:24 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

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