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Prediction markets for The Office

Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?

Jan 22, 11:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1.15%chance

316855577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119340

2476

Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?

Jul 4, 7:02 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

2.17%chance

6062532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

56934

7037

Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]

May 22, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

17530283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3400

1415

Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.72%chance

4311572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2345

1740

If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?

Jul 11, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.89%chance

5510526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3703

2184

Will the next president die while in office?

Aug 2, 5:44 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

18%chance

344519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

938

Will the 51st state be admitted before the 51st president takes office?

Sep 3, 6:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.33%chance

352906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1673

598

Will an AI be elected to public office in the USA by 2034? (850M subsidy)

Sep 28, 8:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

23.5%chance

472599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2365

1309

Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office?

Oct 1, 10:15 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

28%chance

301617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

933

Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?

Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM

60.61%chance

261575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1452

364

Will the italian government last for the entire term of office?

Mar 8, 12:37 AMMar 1, 11:00 AM

59.51%chance

211502

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1427

295

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

57%chance

12518

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

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