The Recruits News

As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Jul 19, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.62%chance

424602

OptionVotes

YES

2786

758

Which of these bad policies will the US abolish by 2050?

Dec 31, 5:11 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

663584

OptionProbability

Affirmative action

the jones act

Subsidies for corn/HFCS

Disparate impact doctrine

Rent control

H1B caps

Social promotion in school

First-past-the-post voting

Federal subsidies for a negative-sum signaling arms race in higher education

Non-land property taxes

Buying a latte with bitcoin incurs capital gains because bitcoin counts as property instead of currency

Feds arresting people for plots that the feds planned and recruited them for (entrapment)

Payroll taxes

Sales taxes

Wage control

Income taxes

Does eating snow dehydrate you?

Apr 10, 4:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.42%chance

333412

OptionVotes

YES

1505

892

Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?

Feb 29, 1:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

232852

OptionVotes

YES

1145

872

Was Epstein a Russian asset?

Feb 9, 11:39 PMJan 1, 11:35 PM

14.9%chance

232276

OptionVotes

YES

2390

418

Will the United States Midterm Elections be free and fair?

Feb 25, 3:42 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

32%chance

201103

OptionVotes

YES

146

Will Michael Bailey publish a fraudulent test of the gAyGP thesis by 2032?

Jan 27, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

80%chance

11000

OptionVotes

YES

2000

500

Would a randomized controlled trial show horoscopes to work better than horoscope skeptics?

Dec 9, 8:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27%chance

9442

OptionVotes

YES

127

120

A Fortune 500 company will use a Roblox experience as part of their recruiting process

Sep 10, 3:03 PMSep 8, 3:03 PM

18.99%chance

17345

OptionVotes

YES

1024

787

Will 2026 be the last year of fresh recruiting talent entering the US workforce?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

12.46%chance

5165

OptionVotes

YES

265

Will the FDA stop any approved study by Neuralink before Jan 1, 2030

Jan 10, 6:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.22%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

109

Will @FutureHouseSF recruit Keoni Gandall by EOY 2028?

Jan 4, 6:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

The Recruits News

Prediction markets for The Recruits

Prediction markets for The Recruits

Prediction markets for The Recruits

As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Which of these bad policies will the US abolish by 2050?

Does eating snow dehydrate you?

Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?

Was Epstein a Russian asset?

Will the United States Midterm Elections be free and fair?

Will Michael Bailey publish a fraudulent test of the gAyGP thesis by 2032?

Would a randomized controlled trial show horoscopes to work better than horoscope skeptics?

A Fortune 500 company will use a Roblox experience as part of their recruiting process

Will 2026 be the last year of fresh recruiting talent entering the US workforce?

Will the FDA stop any approved study by Neuralink before Jan 1, 2030

Will @FutureHouseSF recruit Keoni Gandall by EOY 2028?

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