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Prediction markets for The Regime

Will a foreign military strike Iran before Jan 16th [NO], and will the regime fall this year?

Jan 10, 11:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9643802

OptionProbability

No strikes, regime stays

No strikes, regime falls

Strikes, regime stays

Strikes, regime falls

71

29

0

0

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.88%chance

8324950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7891

2977

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

44.01%chance

324918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

887

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Mar 2, 6:03 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

18.69%chance

153946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1941

618

Will the Iranian regime fall by end of June?

Mar 2, 10:03 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

11.84%chance

331247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?

Jan 5, 3:23 PMJan 1, 3:20 PM

60%chance

321139

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

82

How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026?

Oct 23, 1:55 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM

6991

OptionProbability

Electoral democracy

Liberal democracy

Electoral autocracy

Closed autocracy

83

15

1

1

How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2028?

Nov 18, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8928

OptionProbability

Electoral democracy

Liberal democracy

Electoral autocracy

Closed autocracy

74

24

2

1

How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2027?

Nov 18, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4792

OptionProbability

Electoral democracy

Liberal democracy

Electoral autocracy

Closed autocracy

80

19

1

1

How will the United States be classed by Regimes of the World in 2027?

Nov 20, 9:06 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM

3563

OptionProbability

Electoral democracy

Liberal democracy

Electoral autocracy

Closed autocracy

74

21

4

1

Will there be "compulsory genital inspection regime" in the USA by the end of Trump's term?

Jan 22, 1:22 PMJan 30, 10:59 PM

11.43%chance

19519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

278

36

Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction?

Oct 6, 12:43 PMSep 9, 8:59 PM

31%chance

10339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

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