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Prediction markets for The Revenant

What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

90217127

OptionProbability

Other

$190-200B

$200-210B

$180-190B

$210-220B

$170-180B

$220-230B

$230-240B

$240-250B

$250-260B

$260-270B

$130-140B

$140-150B

$160-170B

$270-280B

$280-290B

$290-300B

$110-120B

$120-130B

$150-160B

<$40B

$60-70B

$70-80B

$80-90B

$90-100B

$100-110B

$40-50B

$50-60B

18

7

7

6

6

5

5

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?

Apr 7, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.59%chance

7221879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6111

796

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.08%chance

3215738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1276

785

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80%chance

399880

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2003

501

OpenAI or Anthropic 2028 revenue at $3T+

Apr 7, 10:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.69%chance

347708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2890

346

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce over $100,000 in revenue?

Sep 20, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56%chance

161838

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

886

Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?

Mar 17, 12:34 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

84.37%chance

91707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2323

430

Will annual U.S. debt interest payments exceed 20% of federal budget revenue by 2028?

May 29, 1:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.99%chance

12961

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

887

Will a song produced using Grimes' AI vocal resource pass $100K in revenue?

May 6, 4:10 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.2%chance

28925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1197

654

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.68%chance

4780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4261

3904

Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?

Sep 6, 10:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.93%chance

15702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

838

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce at least $500,000 in revenue?

Sep 21, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.73%chance

5175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

891

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