OptionVotes
YES
NO
44052
7896
4292
339
4502
705
1470
801
OptionProbability
Mainstream narrative shift
1e27 FLOP public model by EOY 2025
OpenBrain Revenue 45bi 2026 Annual
AIs can do everything taught by a CS degree
CCP nationalizes AI Research
83
75
56
51
38
Jeffrey Sachs
Huey Li (and the news)
SerpentZA
Laowhy86
Nicholas Kristof
Michael Pettis
Peter Hessler
James Fallows
Kevin D Walmsley of Inside China Business
Liziqi
Nathan Rich
Living in China
Jerry Kowal
Significant effort (10k+ posts) to manipulate comment threads on hacker news.
Asia Society Policy Institute
Yale Center Beijing
Brookings Institution (China Center)
Blondie in China
Elon Musk
Bill Bishop, Sinocism
52
50
41
40