The Talk News

Will people in 2050 talk about Lighthaven the same way they talk about Bell Labs now?

Sep 3, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.8%chance

126264

OptionVotes

YES

3035

330

Will Gwern talk mostly positively or negatively about the move to San Fransisco, in a year?

Jan 13, 10:07 PMJun 11, 3:59 AM

182763

OptionProbability

Positively

Negatively

Will "age escape velocity" become a talking point in popular media within the end of 2030?

Dec 29, 4:04 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

36.55%chance

201265

OptionVotes

YES

1318

759

Will Destiny talk to Joe Rogan before the One Piece manga ends?

Mar 10, 5:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.91%chance

61077

OptionVotes

YES

183

140

When will the US let Russians talk to AI models?

Nov 25, 8:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2496

OptionProbability

2025 or 2026

2027

2028

2029

2030 or later / never happens

In the end of 2028, will the public generally accept that talking with AI Girlfriends is cheating?

Dec 18, 1:31 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

35.98%chance

18410

OptionVotes

YES

991

969

Will Destiny talk to Walz or Vance before the end of 2026?

Aug 26, 3:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.56%chance

8330

OptionVotes

YES

412

Will I hear of anyone in the US or Canada placed under an involuntary psychiatric hold for talking about suicide from a philosophical perspective?

Nov 18, 2:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.9%chance

14273

OptionVotes

YES

1081

966

Will "How I talk to those above me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jun 2, 5:34 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.38%chance

4229

OptionVotes

YES

1026

853

Will Hasan piker talk about an assassination attempt or attack on himself on stream by the end of 2026?

Sep 15, 9:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.02%chance

268

OptionVotes

YES

125

What will be the top 8 most leeched torrents when I search "album" on ThePirateBay on Talk Like A Pirate Day, 2026?

Feb 22, 9:18 PMSep 20, 3:59 AM

345

OptionProbability

Taylor Swift - evermore (2020) FLAC Album [PMEDIA]

Kanye West - Donda 2 (2022) FLAC Album [PMEDIA]

The Pretenders - Original Album Series (5CD BoxSet) (2009)

Merseybeat - Original Album Series (5CD BoxSet) (2014 Parlophone Mono)

The Beatles - The Beatles' Second Album (2014 Deluxe Edition FLAC) 88

The Best Disco Party Album in the World... Ever! (2023) Mp3 320kbps [PMEDIA]

The Beatles - The Beatles (White Album) (2018 Super Deluxe FLAC) 88

Barbie - The Album (2023) Mp3 320kbps [PMEDIA]

Ride - Original Album Series (5CD Box Set) (2016)

Echo & The Bunnymen - Original Album Series (2009) (5CD Box Set)

Molly Hatchet - Original Album Classics (5CD BoxSet) (2010)

The Best R&B Classics Album in the World Ever (2024) Mp3 320kbps [PMEDIA]

Smokey Circles - Smokey Circles Album (1970, 2018 reissue)

The Replacements - Original Album Series (2012) [5 CD Box Set]

Taylor Swift - evermore (2020) FLAC Album [PMEDIA]

Linda Ronstadt - Original Album Series (5CD BoxSet) (2009)

The Best Christmas Album In The World...Ever! 2023 (2023) Mp3 320kbps

VA - The Best 80s Car Songs Album In The World Ever (3CD) (2021)

Will Maddox and Dick Masterson appear and talk on the same show together before EOY 2029?

Dec 7, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.81%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

The Talk News

Prediction markets for The Talk

Prediction markets for The Talk

Prediction markets for The Talk

Will people in 2050 talk about Lighthaven the same way they talk about Bell Labs now?

Will Gwern talk mostly positively or negatively about the move to San Fransisco, in a year?

Will "age escape velocity" become a talking point in popular media within the end of 2030?

Will Destiny talk to Joe Rogan before the One Piece manga ends?

When will the US let Russians talk to AI models?

In the end of 2028, will the public generally accept that talking with AI Girlfriends is cheating?

Will Destiny talk to Walz or Vance before the end of 2026?

Will I hear of anyone in the US or Canada placed under an involuntary psychiatric hold for talking about suicide from a philosophical perspective?

Will "How I talk to those above me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will Hasan piker talk about an assassination attempt or attack on himself on stream by the end of 2026?

What will be the top 8 most leeched torrents when I search "album" on ThePirateBay on Talk Like A Pirate Day, 2026?

Will Maddox and Dick Masterson appear and talk on the same show together before EOY 2029?

Latest stories