OptionProbability
[American] Health Care
Donald Trump (incl. his trials)
J.D. Vance
The 2024 Election
Supreme Court (or its Justices)
Israel [incl. War in Gaza]
Gun Control
Russia [incl. War in Ukraine]
Abortion access
Joe Biden
Cost of Housing / Mortgage Rates
Weight loss drugs (Ozempic, Wegovy…etc)
Infrastructure
Mark Zuckerberg (incl. Meta / Facebook / IG…etc.)
Sports gambling
Big Tech
Processed Food (incl. Nutrition Labels)
The UK
Taylor Swift
Worker Unions and/or Co-ops
Summer Olympics
Antitrust Law
The Effective Altruism and/or Rationality movements
Japan
The British Royal Family (incl. King Charles, Prince Andrew)
FIFA
North Korea
Winter Olympics
Post office
Stagnating Wages of the Average Worker
100
99
91
88
82
80
77
76
74
73
71
67
63
61
59
52
50
48
44
43
41
39
27
