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Prediction markets for The Union

Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?

Jul 3, 3:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.3%chance

1614186

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11095

8929

Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?

Feb 2, 12:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.5%chance

442650

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

901

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

Jun 30, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

431758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

908

Will the Rockstar games workers gain union recognition before the release of GTAVI?

Dec 15, 11:25 PMJun 22, 10:59 PM

20.31%chance

91450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1981

505

Will the next country to join the European Union be Montenegro?

May 3, 2:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.69%chance

211405

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1717

543

Will the European Union still exist as a meaningful political entity in the year 2050?

Aug 26, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.16%chance

13829

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1610

621

Will the European Union still exist as a meaningful political entity in the year 2100?

Aug 26, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34%chance

8706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1393

718

Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?

Mar 31, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

24682

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

754

Will a majority of Democratic Congresspeople boycott any of Trump’s State of the Union addresses?

Mar 27, 4:46 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

30.56%chance

10517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1507

663

Will the Swedish Transport Workers' Union (Transportarbetareförbundet) officially oppose self driving vehicles?

Apr 18, 1:53 PMJan 1, 2:47 PM

42.2%chance

3307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1270

954

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

Jun 30, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46%chance

16284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

965

Will the European Union still exist as a meaningful political entity in the year 2075?

Aug 26, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.76%chance

5114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

975

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