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Prediction markets for The Union

Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?

Jul 3, 3:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.06%chance

1514136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11045

8973

Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?

Feb 2, 12:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.06%chance

432620

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

928

Will there be a state introduced or removed from the union by 2030?

Jan 12, 9:46 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

15.78%chance

281912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1708

781

Will the European Union lose another member by 2035?

Apr 16, 12:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.47%chance

391827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1463

740

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

Jun 30, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

431758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

908

Will the next country to join the European Union be Montenegro?

May 3, 2:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.46%chance

17953

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1459

653

Will the European Union still exist as a meaningful political entity in the year 2050?

Aug 26, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.87%chance

13779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1560

641

Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?

Mar 31, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.2%chance

19556

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

850

Will the European Union still exist as a meaningful political entity in the year 2100?

Aug 26, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.47%chance

7430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1118

895

Will a majority of Democratic Congresspeople boycott any of Trump’s State of the Union addresses?

Mar 27, 4:46 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

35.69%chance

7352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1342

745

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

Jun 30, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46%chance

16284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

965

Will the European Union still exist as a meaningful political entity in the year 2075?

Aug 26, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.96%chance

350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

962

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