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Prediction markets for The View

Will the first Manifold market to reach 1 million views have 10,000 or more traders before it reaches 1 million views?

Feb 17, 5:23 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

44%chance

162098

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1153

856

What will be the most viewed website in the world at the end of 2030?

Mar 19, 12:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

651536

OptionProbability

google.com

Other

youtube.com

openai.com

twitter.com

baidu.com

instagram.com

40

35

21

2

1

1

1

What will be the most viewed website in the world at the end of 2026?

Mar 19, 12:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

321332

OptionProbability

google.com

Other

openai.com

baidu.com

youtube.com

twitter.com

instagram.com

90

5

3

1

0

0

0

Will Mr Beast have a video with 1 billion views by the end of 2026?

Jul 16, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.36%chance

20698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

187

54

Will Mr Beast have a video with 1 billion views by the end of 2026?

Jun 12, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.85%chance

24655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

56

Will relational quantum mechanics become the consensus view by the end of 2040?

Dec 7, 7:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.63%chance

10566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

291

129

Will a video on Youtube break the current record for most viewed independent animation pilot before Jan 1st 2027?

Dec 1, 9:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.72%chance

17413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

725

Will the view that black holes filled with negative pressure explain the expansion of the Universe be the most supported hypothesis in 2030?

Feb 18, 7:29 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM

5.09%chance

5323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

473

98

How will "The AI Job Apocalypse Is A Is A Complete Fantasy" be viewed at the end of 2027?

May 7, 1:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

240

OptionProbability

Correct

Mixed

Incorrect

55

29

17

What rank in views will The Amazing Digital Circus Finale get?

Dec 1, 3:36 AMSep 30, 10:59 PM

240

OptionProbability

4th-6th

7th-9th

1st-3rd

43

36

21

In 10 years time, will I view my decision to partake in the ### capital raise a wise decision?

Mar 31, 3:53 AMMar 31, 12:59 PM

48.88%chance

335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

91

89

Whoopi Goldberg announces retirement from the view by December 31, 2026

Jan 16, 7:05 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

40.19%chance

322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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