Thing Three News

Warner Bros. Releases First Trailer and Poster for Animated 'The Cat in the Hat' Starring Bill Hader, Out February 27, 2026

1 month ago

In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors?

Feb 20, 10:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43%chance

349125780

OptionVotes

YES

2566

1866

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.02%chance

7532370

OptionVotes

YES

25533

3383

Will the four year Bitcoin bull / bear market cycle continue for the 2023-2026 cycle?

Dec 11, 6:14 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

32.87%chance

13128734

OptionVotes

YES

10560

8654

Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?

Jan 25, 12:24 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14.74%chance

21426846

OptionVotes

YES

4896

1014

Will MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson) be convicted of a crime before the end of 2026?

Jul 30, 4:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.48%chance

8510745

OptionVotes

YES

3091

324

Will Google emoji kitchen include combos for the strong arm emoji 💪 by mid 2026?

Jan 2, 8:16 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

18.21%chance

312860

OptionVotes

YES

2119

472

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

42%chance

372766

OptionVotes

YES

1206

796

Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?

Jun 27, 9:02 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

23.17%chance

162229

OptionVotes

YES

1821

549

Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?

Mar 24, 12:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

33.37%chance

491788

OptionVotes

YES

1113

920

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.79%chance

161362

OptionVotes

YES

1696

589

Will my children need to learn to drive?

Jul 3, 10:37 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

29.94%chance

261330

OptionVotes

YES

1005

971

Will non-human intelligence be confirmed before artificial general intelligence?

Dec 25, 2:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.23%chance

20490

OptionVotes

YES

1022

760

Latest stories

Jul 1, 2025
Jul 1, 2025
Movies
Culture
Warner Bros. Releases First Trailer and Poster for Animated 'The Cat in the Hat' Starring Bill Hader, Out February 27, 2026
Authors
33
1 month ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Thing Three News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Thing Three

Prediction markets for Thing Three

Prediction markets for Thing Three

In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors?

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will the four year Bitcoin bull / bear market cycle continue for the 2023-2026 cycle?

Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?

Will MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson) be convicted of a crime before the end of 2026?

Will Google emoji kitchen include combos for the strong arm emoji 💪 by mid 2026?

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?

Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

Will my children need to learn to drive?

Will non-human intelligence be confirmed before artificial general intelligence?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram